Matters ▸ Attachment
2021 Water and Sewer Rate Study - Draft Report — File 211857
City of Somerville, MA
2021 Water and Sewer Rate Study – Draft
Report
May 10, 2021
May 10, 2021
Mr. Alex G Marini Lessin
Director of Finance &
Administration
City of Somerville Water &
Sewer Department
17 Franey Rd Somerville, MA
02145
Re: 2021 Water and Sewer
Rate Study – Draft Report
Dear Mr. Lessin,
Stantec Consulting is pleased to present this Draft Report of the
2021 Water and Sewer Rate Study that we performed for the City
of Somerville, Massachusetts. We appreciate the fine assistance
provided by you and all of the members of the City Staff who
participated in the Study.
If you or others at the City have any questions, please do not
hesitate to call me at [phone removed] or email me at
[email removed]. We appreciate the opportunity to be
of service to the City and look forward to the possibility of doing
so again in the near future.
Sincerely,
Kyle Stevens
Project Manager
Managing Consultant
Enclosure
City of Somerville| Water and Sewer Rate Study Report
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Introduction …….. …… ................................................................................................................ 1
Background ...................................................................................................................... 1
Objectives ........................................................................................................................ 1
Financial Sustainability Analysis ............................................................................................... 2
Description ....................................................................................................................... 2
Source Data ..................................................................................................................... 3
2.2.1
Fund Balance ............................................................................................................ 3
2.2.2
Revenues .................................................................................................................. 3
2.2.3
Operating Expenditures ............................................................................................ 4
2.2.4
Capital Investment Plan ............................................................................................ 4
2.2.5
Existing Debt Service ................................................................................................ 4
Assumptions ..................................................................................................................... 5
2.3.1
Cost Escalation ......................................................................................................... 5
2.3.2
Interest Earnings on Invested Funds ........................................................................ 5
2.3.3
Minimum Reserve Policy .......................................................................................... 5
2.3.4
Future Borrowing & Capital Funding ........................................................................ 5
2.3.5
Debt Service and Coverage ...................................................................................... 6
Results ............................................................................................................................. 7
Conclusions & Recommendations ................................................................................... 9
Residential Bill Survey & Customer Impacts ............................................................................ 11
Affordability Analysis .................................................................................................................. 12
U.S. EPA Residential Indicator ........................................................................................ 12
Hours worked at minimum wage (HM) ............................................................................ 13
Weighted Average Residential Index (WARi®) ............................................................... 13
4.3.1
Assumptions and Data .............................................................................................. 14
4.3.2
WARi® Calculations ................................................................................................. 15
4.3.3
WARi® Thresholds ................................................................................................... 15
4.3.4
WARI® Findings – Actual Bills.................................................................................. 16
Customer Assistance Program ........................................................................................ 19
Conclusions and Recommendations ......................................................................................... 21
Appendix A: Water Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules................. 23
Appendix B: Sewer Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules ................ 35
1. Introduction
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INTRODUCTION
BACKGROUND
Stantec Consulting Services Inc. (Stantec) has conducted a Rate Study (Study) for the Water and Sewer
Funds (Fund or Utility) of the City of Somerville, Massachusetts (City). The following sections of the report
describe in detail the assumptions, procedures, and results of the analysis, as well as the conclusions and
recommendations developed during the analysis.
The City of Somerville is a City of approximately 81,000 residents and is one of several communities that
make up the greater Boston metro area. One of the many critical quality of life functions of the City
Government is to provide water and sewer services to its citizens and businesses located within the City
while ensuring compliance with applicable environmental regulations. The City’s water supply and
wastewater treatment functions are provided by the Massachusetts Water Resources Authority (MWRA).
At the end of 2020, there were approximately 15,000 water and sewer accounts receiving service within
the City.
The City has historically evaluated water and sewer rates on an annual basis as part of its budget process.
Consistent with this practice, in 2021, the City retained Stantec to perform a comprehensive rate study
which includes a number of objectives as described below.
OBJECTIVES
The principal objectives or components of the Study are as follows:
Water and Sewer Financial Sustainability Analysis – Conduct an analysis that evaluates the current
and projected financial condition of the City’s Water and Sewer Funds and identifies financial
adjustments that will provide a sustainable future for the City utilities over a multi-year projection period.
Affordability Analysis – Analyze current utility billing data and US census data for the service area to
understand the extent of utility bill affordability challenges for residential customers currently and
projected into the future. This analysis will consider traditional methods such as the EPA’s residential
indicator as well as more sensitive and granular metrics including Stantec’s Weighted Average
Residential Index (WARi) approach.
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FINANCIAL SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS
The City retained the services of Stantec to evaluate the current and projected financial condition of the
City’s Water and Sewer Fund and identify revenue enhancements and other financial adjustments that will
provide a sustainable future for the City’s utilities over a multi-year projection period. This report describes
in detail the approach taken to complete the study, as well as the results of the analysis, our concluding
observations, and considerations for the future.
DESCRIPTION
This section presents the financial management plan developed during the Study. The first two sub-
sections present a description of the base data, assumptions, and policies reflected in the Study. The last
two sub-sections provide the results and conclusions of the Study, while Appendix A and Appendix B
include detailed schedules supporting the financial management plan identified herein.
Throughout the course of the Study, we conducted multiple interactive work sessions with City Staff. During
these work sessions, we examined the impact of various alternatives upon key financial indicators by use
of graphical representations from our interactive rate model. In this way, we developed revenue adjustment
plans for each alternative financial management plan identified, including the recommended financial
management plan presented in this report, which will allow the Utility to meet its projected requirements
and financial performance goals and objectives throughout the projection period. It is important to note that
the revenue adjustment plans defined throughout this report are fundamentally being driven by the need to
make generational investments in infrastructure though the City’s capital investment plan.
In order to initialize our analysis, we obtained the historical and budgeted financial information regarding
the operation of the Utility. We discussed with City Staff any assumptions and policies that would affect the
financial performance of the Utility such as additional expenses outside of the budget, required levels of
operating and capital reserves, earnings on invested funds, escalation rates for operating costs, etc.
All of this information was entered into our Financial Analysis and Management System (FAMS) interactive
model. The FAMS model produced a ten-year projection of the sufficiency of the current revenues to meet
all of the Utility’s current and projected financial requirements and determined the level of revenue increases
necessary in each year of the projection period to provide sufficient revenues to fund all of the Utility’s cost
requirements.
FAMS utilizes all projected available and unrestricted funds in each year of the projection period to pay for
capital projects. The model is set up to reflect the rules of cash application as defined and applied by the
City in order to produce a detailed summary of the funding sources to be used for each project in the Capital
Investment Plan (CIP).
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SOURCE DATA
The analysis used both historical and projected information. The following presents the key source data
utilized in the Financial Sustainability Analysis (FSA).
2.2.1 Fund Balance
City Staff provided historical audited financial information as of July 1, 2020, which was used to establish
the beginning fiscal year (FY) 2021 balances for the Water and Sewer Funds. Beginning balances were
ultimately categorized into two “buckets”, the City’s Enterprise Fund and Stabilization Funds (Water &
Sewer Stabilization Fund and Infiltration & Inflow Fund). The City’s Enterprise Fund consists of unrestricted
cash balances that are available to the Utility for operations and ultimately represents the funds available
for rate setting purposes.1 Any funds or proceeds reserved for specific capital projects are excluded from
Enterprise Fund beginning balances, as they are accounted for separately within the City’s separate
debt/project sub-funds. Additional information regarding the purpose of the City’s Enterprise Fund is defined
in Section 2.3.3 of this report and specific details regarding the City’s beginning Enterprise Fund balance
calculation as of July 1, 2020 is presented on Schedule 2 of Appendix A and B.
2.2.2 Revenues
Revenue sources utilized in the Study consist of rate revenues, liens redeemed, other operating revenues
from miscellaneous service charges, and interest earnings revenues. Rate revenues were projected in FY
2021 to reflect the continuation of impacts from the COVID-19 pandemic and observed demand trends.
Each year thereafter, rate revenues reflect prior year revenue, adjusted for projected growth in equivalent
residential units (ERUs) and billed volume. Annual lien revenues were estimated for FY 2021 to reflect
administrative changes in the process and a rise in delinquent accounts due to the global pandemic. This
is projected to result in a rise in revenues in FY 2022 and then a normalization of this revenue stream in FY
2023 and forward as the pandemic’s effects subside. As such, water and sewer liens redeemed were
projected as a percent of rate revenues (approximately 2.5% for water and 2.3% for sewer) starting in FY
2023, based upon historical levels.
Other operating revenue projections were projected based upon the FY 2021 Original Budget provided by
City Staff and maintained at the same level for the entire projection period. Interest earnings were calculated
annually based upon projected average fund balances and assumed annual interest earnings rates.
Additionally, contributions to the City’s Water and Sewer Stabilization Fund were forecasted at the budgeted
level of $2.2 million (M) for FY 2021 (split 32% water and 68% to sewer), and then for each year thereafter
at an assumed amount of $2.0M (split 20% water and 80% sewer).
1 What the City refers to as its “Enterprise Fund” is commonly referred to as an “operating fund” or
“revenue fund” by other municipal agencies.
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2.2.3 Operating Expenditures
Operating expenses include personal services costs, operating and maintenance (O&M) costs,
Massachusetts Water Resources Authority (MWRA) assessment costs, and minor capital outlays. All
operating expenses in FY 2021 reflect the City’s FY 2021 Original Budget and were projected each year
thereafter based upon assumed future cost escalation factors. It is important to note that in each year of
the forecast, including the budget year FY 2021, an actual execution rate of 100% was assumed for all
operating expenses, meaning that the full budget is expected to be expended each year.
2.2.4 Capital Investment Plan
Capital improvement projects mostly represent the renewal and replacement of existing infrastructure and
to a lesser extent new infrastructure. Under the auspice of the current rate study, Stantec worked with City
Staff to develop a projection of capital spending for FY 2021 - FY 2031 and incorporate the capital
investment plan (CIP) into the FAMS financial model. The total capital spending forecasted from FY 2021-
FY 2031 in the model, in future day dollars2, is $116M for the Water Fund and $463M for the Sewer Fund.
The capital plan as projected has been executed at 100%, functionally meaning that all capital is anticipated
to be spent in the year projected at the amount projected. Importantly, funding rules for capital spending
projections were not defined within the financial model, rather the City’s Finance Staff processed the
expected CIP spending by year into a schedule of annual debt service requirements. In doing so the
projection more accurately reflects the process by which the City utilizes short term debt, known as bond
anticipation notes (BAN) for a typical 2-year term before securing long term financing.
2.2.5 Existing Debt Service
This Study reflects the annual principal and interest requirements associated with the City’s outstanding
water and sewer financing, which includes municipal use bonds, MWRA loans, and short-term BANS.
Annual existing debt service levels in FY 2021 are approximately $1.4M for the Water Fund and $1.1M for
the Sewer Fund.
2 The CIP that was provided by City Staff includes inflationary assumptions, and therefore capital
spending projections reflect future dollars rather than current day dollars.
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ASSUMPTIONS
The following presents the key assumptions utilized in the FSA.
2.3.1 Cost Escalation
Annual cost escalation factors for the various types of operating expenses were discussed with City Staff
and applied in each year of the projection period, beginning in FY 2022. The specific escalation factors
assumed for each category of expense are presented in Appendix A & B of this report and reflect recent
historical trends, current industry observations, and City Staff expectations.
2.3.2 Interest Earnings on Invested Funds
The Study reflects assumed future annual interest-earning rates of 0.75% in each year of the forecast
starting in FY 2021.
2.3.3 Minimum Reserve Policy
Reserve balances for utility systems are funds set aside for a specific cash flow requirement, financial need,
project, task, or legal covenant. These balances are maintained in order to meet short-term cash flow
requirements, and at the same time, minimize the risk associated with meeting the financial obligations and
continued operational and capital needs under adverse conditions. The level of reserves maintained by a
utility is an important component and consideration of developing a utility system multi-year financial
management plan.
Many utilities, rating agencies, and the investment community as a whole place a significant emphasis on
having sufficient reserves available for potentially adverse conditions. The rationale related to the
maintenance of adequate reserves is twofold. First, it helps to assure that the utility will have adequate
funds available to meet its financial obligations during unusual periods (e.g., when revenues are unusually
low and/or expenditures are unusually high). Second, it provides funds for emergency repairs or
replacements to the system, which may occur because of natural disasters or unanticipated system failures.
The financial management plan presented in this report assumes the City will maintain a minimum
Enterprise Fund (operating fund) balance or reserve equal to 30% of annual operating expenses, including
personal services costs, operating and maintenance costs, and MWRA assessment costs. This level of
reserves is consistent with our experience with other financially stable utility systems.
2.3.4 Future Borrowing & Capital Funding
The analysis included herein assumes that future capital will be financed and result in new debt issuance,
with the exception of vehicles and minor capital. As such Finance Staff has calculated future debt service
schedules based on capital spending expectations and incorporates both short term and long-term
financing facilities. This schedule has been relied upon in the analysis as the authoritative source for new
annual debt service requirements and is included in appendix A & B, for water and sewer respectively.
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2.3.5 Debt Service and Coverage
The utility has a stated finical policy of maintaining a debt to operating revenue ratio of 30% or lower. This
key metric has been included in the forecast and calculated in each and every year using a conservative
definition of revenues consisting of mainly rate revenues from charges for services. The metric will show
notable deterioration as the utility is forecasted to take on meaningful additional debt over the forecast
period. Of note the utility is expected to receive stabilization contributions which will pay for debt service
but are not included in this ratio. The contributions are used only to offset debt service expenses and thus
provide a significant boost in the resources available to manage ongoing debt cost.
Alternatively, many utilities have a debt covenant to maintain net revenues (gross revenues minus operating
expenses) that are at least 1.25 times greater than the annual debt service expense (i.e. the annual principal
and interest payments) for senior lien debt and 1.15 times annual debt service expenses for subordinate
debt. Stantec has included this calculation as well for the entire forecast period.
Per recently published guidance from Fitch Ratings, the municipal ratings agency, utility systems with
Midrange financial profiles maintain debt service coverage greater than 1.50 times net revenue and
Stronger financial profiles maintain debt service coverage greater than 2.00 times net revenue. Per the
financial management plan presented herein, projected annual debt service coverage ranges from 5.52
times net revenue to 1.31 times net revenue over the forecast period.
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RESULTS
Once all revenue requirements for the Water and Sewer Funds were included within the Financial
Sustainability Analysis, a diagnostic model run was conducted. A diagnostic model run allows for an
understanding of the trajectory for the Water and Sewer Funds without any revenue adjustments (water
and sewer rate increases) over the projection period. Importantly this step does not assume that future rate
revenue adjustments are needed, rather it sets a baseline if current revenue levels are maintained. Figures
1 and 2 display the end of year Enterprise Fund balances for the Water Fund and Sewer Fund, respectively.
In both cases the diagnostic calculation of the model results in a depletion of fund balances below the policy
minimum target by FY 2023, indicating that revenues are insufficient to fund cost requirements over the
projection period.
Figure 1 – Water Diagnostic Model Run (Enterprise Fund Balances)
Figure 2 – Sewer Diagnostic Model Run (Enterprise Fund Balances)
As demonstrated in Figures 1 and 2, the Water and Sewer Funds will require revenue adjustments
throughout the projection period in order to provide sufficient revenues to fund the ongoing operations and
maintenance costs, capital improvement projects, renewal & replacement costs, new debt service, and
reserve requirements of the Enterprise Fund.
-$100.0M
-$50.0M
$0.0M
$50.0M
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Fund Balance
Target
-$200.0M
-$150.0M
-$100.0M
-$50.0M
$0.0M
$50.0M
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Fund Balance
Target
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The recommended financial management plan and corresponding plan of sustainable rate adjustments is
based upon the source data and assumptions as described in the previous sections of this report. Appendix
A and B include several detailed schedules presenting key aspects of the ten-year financial management
plan, while the recommended rate adjustment plan for the immediate five-year planning period is presented
on Tables 1 and 2. It is important to note that the rate adjustments presented herein are only applied to
volumetric rates, with no adjustments applied to fixed charges. Additionally, the rate increases presented
herein will have varying impacts on customer bills based upon user class and the respective level of
water/sewer use. The sustainable rate adjustment plan has been shown first as “just-in-time” whereby
increases are applied in the year they are required to maintain sustainability. Alternatively, in the “Level”
plan adjustments provide a smoothed rate plan. The Level plan is the recommend plan for its predictability
to customers and minimization of large increases in any given year.
Table 1 – Water Recommended Level Rate Revenue Adjustments and Just-in-Time Calculations
Fiscal Year
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
Effective Date
7/1/2021
7/1/2022
7/1/2023
7/1/2024
7/1/2025
Water Volumetric Plan Just-in-
Time
0.00%
22.44%
8.12%
9.06%
6.67%
Water Volumetric Plan Level
Adjustments
7.00%
10.00%
10.00%
10.00%
10.00%
Table 2 – Sewer Recommended Level Rate Revenue Adjustments and Just-in-Time Calculations
Fiscal Year
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
Effective Date
7/1/2021
7/1/2022
7/1/2023
7/1/2024
7/1/2025
Sewer Volumetric Plan Just-in-
Time
12.45%
11.98%
3.79%
10.56
12.76%
Sewer Volumetric Plan Level
Adjustments
10.50%
10.50%
10.50%
10.50%
10.50%
The revenue adjustments as calculated are fundamentally being driven by the need to make generational
investments in infrastructure though the capital investment plan. The City is in a very similar situation as
peer New England utilities that have significant replacement needs due to aging infrastructure and modern
environmental regulations. Importantly, the CIP as projected by magnitude and timing is constructed to
avoid regulatory compliance issues in the future, which almost certainly would result in large rate revenue
increases at that point in time.
It is important to note that the projections of future conditions underlying this analysis are not intended to
be predictions. Applicable to many utility systems, there are multiple factors beyond the City’s control, such
as i) severe weather, ii) regulatory changes, iii) national, regional, and local economic conditions, iv) the
rate of customer growth, v) operating and capital cost inflation, and vi) changes in the timing and
composition of the Utility’s CIP, that may have material impacts on the future financial condition of the Utility.
Furthermore, the projections in this Study rely upon data and guidance provided by the City during the
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development of the Study, and while the information utilized in this Study is believed to be reliable, detailed
independent reviews or auditing of the data were not conducted.
As a result, there will usually be differences between forecasted and actual results because events and
circumstances frequently do not occur as expected, and those differences may be material. While Stantec
has no responsibility to update this report for events and circumstances occurring after the date of this
report, future management actions should be based upon and adjusted to reflect future results as they
occur. These comments are provided to emphasize the importance of active management informed by the
actual future results of Utility operations by the City. While the planning effort supported by this Study will
serve to guide and inform the City in balancing future revenue and spending decisions, it is only through
observation of future results, and the update of this analysis, that the City will be able to determine the
actions required to ensure its financial and operational objectives are met over time.
Appendix A & B includes detailed schedules presenting all components of the financial management plan
developed for the Utility.
CONCLUSIONS & RECOMMENDATIONS
We have reached the following conclusions and recommendations regarding the sufficiency of the Utility’s
current rates over the projection period:
•
Based upon the assumptions and base data described herein, the City’s current water and sewer
rates will not generate sufficient revenue to satisfy the Utility’s annual operating expenses, capital
improvement requirements, debt service, and operating reserve requirements over the five-year
and ten-year planning horizon analyzed.
•
We recommend that the City adopt the sustainable “level” annual rate revenue adjustments for
water and sewer outlined in Table 3 below to cover all the utility’s expenses, provide sufficient debt
service coverage, and maintain an operating reserve equal to 30% of operating expenses. If the
City wishes to maintain a greater level of operating reserves, a plan of higher rate increases will be
required.
Table 3 – Recommended Water and Sewer Revenue Adjustments
Fiscal Year
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
Effective Date
7/1/2021
7/1/2022
7/1/2023
7/1/2024
7/1/2025
Water Volumetric Adjustments
7.00%
10.00%
10.00%
10.00%
10.00%
Sewer Volumetric Adjustments
10.50%
10.50%
10.50%
10.50%
10.50%
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•
The recommended water and sewer rate revenue adjustment plans will result in impacts to
customer bills in FY 2022 as reflected in Table 4.
Table 4 – FY 2022 Customer Bill Impacts Based Upon Recommended Revenue Adjustments
Total Units per Bill (in CCF)3
Current
FY 2022
Annual Total
Annual Total
$ Change
% Change
15 (average condo unit)
$784
$840
$55.98
7%
18 (average single family home)
$946
$1,017
$70.92
7%
30 (average two-family home)
$1,597
$1,727
$130.68
8%
42 (average three-family home)
$2,247
$2,437
$190.44
8%
110 (average 8-unit apartment building)
$6,043
$6,583
$539.40
9%
•
In addition, the City should perform updates to this analysis on an annual basis to evaluate the
adequacy of its revenues and plan of annual rate revenue increases. Doing so will allow for the
incorporation of updated revenue and expense information and changes in economic conditions
and demands so that any necessary adjustments to planned rate increases can be made to allow
the Utilities to meet requirements during the projection period and minimize rate impacts from future
events which occur differently than currently projected.
3 Average usage assumptions reflect 4 months of usage (tri-annual bill) per customer class, as derived
from analysis of the City’s FY 2019 detailed billed data.
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RESIDENTIAL BILL SURVEY & CUSTOMER IMPACTS
Stantec also performed a comparative water and sewer monthly residential bill survey of the City’s
surrounding geographic area. The survey presents the average annual water and sewer bill in effect for
each community as of FY 2021 based on an assumed average annual usage of 54 CCF.
Figure 3 – FY 2021 Annual Single Family 5/8" Water and Wastewater Bill Comparison
The survey results indicate that the City charges water and sewer rates that are currently towards the
middle/higher of the market range for the City’s surrounding geographic area. It should be noted though
that no detailed review of other peer municipalities has been performed. Often times there are level of
service differences, alternative funding arrangements and plans for future rate increases that are not
evident in this type of comparison.
It is important to note that there are several factors that contribute to differences in the cost of service
observed between communities at a given point in time. Each entity in the bill comparisons provided herein
have a unique combination of level of service, pricing objectives, supplemental funding sources, system
characteristics, age of infrastructure, regulatory requirements, development activity, etc. These bill
comparisons reflect the current cost of service in each community as of March 2021 and readers are
advised to expect that many of the bills presented herein will increase in the future at varying levels.
$ 764.25
$-
$ 200
$ 400
$ 600
$ 800
$ 1,000
$ 1,200
$ 1,400
Water
Wastewater
Average
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AFFORDABILITY ANALYSIS
This section of the report discusses the affordability characteristics in the City’s service area and the impacts
of current and future water and sewer bills. These characteristics include the quantification of affordability
and potential measures to be taken to improve affordability of water and sewer service for the City’s utility
customers. Metrics used to measure affordability in the service area include the U.S. EPA’s Residential
Indicator (RI), the Hours Worked at Minimum Wage (HM) as well as the Weighted Average Residential
Index (WARi®). It is important to note that the affordability analysis documented in this section of the report
was completed in 2021 and reflects the most current data available at that time. The methodology, analysis
and results for each of the affordability metrics are outlined in the following sections of the report.
U.S. EPA RESIDENTIAL INDICATOR
The first approach is based on the guidance provided by the U.S. EPA within their financial capability
assessment guidance. The U.S. EPA has historically used the Residential Indictor (RI) to assess the ability
of a community to afford necessary capital improvements to meet regulatory requirements. The RI approach
evaluates the combined water and sewer bill as a percentage of the median household income within the
utility’s service area. Under this approach water and sewer service are deemed unaffordable or a high
burden if the bill exceeds 4.5% of the median household income. This approach was applied within the City
based on the current water and sewer bill and the median household income. As shown in Figure 3, when
the average residential single family bill is divided into median household income the resulting burden is
0.77%, well under the 4.5% considered unaffordable. In fact, the bill would have to rise to $4,379 in order
to reach the 4.5% level, indicating that bills could rise significantly before unaffordability is reached.
Figure 3 – U.S. EPA Calculation
While the RI calculation for the City demonstrates that bills are currently affordable and that rates would
have to increase substantially before the service would be deemed unaffordable, the approach uses a very
broad-brush approach. The use of median household income does not provide insight into how the bills
impact utility customers that fall outside the median income. For these reasons alternative affordability
metrics have been developed.
$752 (Average Bill)
$97,328 (MHI)
=
0.77%
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HOURS WORKED AT MINIMUM WAGE (HM)
The Hours Worked at Minimum Wage (HM) approach was developed by Dr. Manny Teodoro (2018.
Measuring Household Affordability for Water and Sewer Utilities. Journal AWWA, 110:1:13). The approach
evaluates the affordability of water and sewer bills in terms of the hours of work required at minimum wage
to pay the monthly bill. While cautioning against comparing utilities’ HM results, Dr. Teodoro considers an
HM of 8 hours or less (or one day of work per month) as a rule of thumb for what is an affordable level of
spending on water and sewer bills. HM is calculated using the following formula:
𝐻𝑀= (W + S)
A
W & S are the average costs of essential water and sewer services; and A is the state or local minimum
wage.
The HM calculation provides the most direct measurement of household-level affordability for households
at the lowest end of the income distribution. Figure 4 displays the calculation for the City’s service area,
demonstrating that 5.84 hours are required at the statutory minimum wage in order to pay the average
monthly cost of water and sewer utility services. As mentioned above, over 8 hours working at the
minimum wage is considered to be burdensome and therefore the City’s HM falls below this threshold.
Additionally, the minimum wage is expected to rise over the coming years to $15 per hour per state law.
In the near term this increase in base pay will act to maintain this metrics findings even in light of
increasing average bills, due to rate increases.
Figure 4 – Hours Worked at Minimum Wage
WEIGHTED AVERAGE RESIDENTIAL INDEX (WARI®)
Stantec’s WARi® analysis provides detailed information on the total cost of water and sewer bills relative
to household income for each census block in the City’s service area, both currently and as projected based
on the rate increases discussed in preceding sections of the report. This detailed view of affordability not
only provides information regarding the impact of the proposed changes in rates, but also helps the City
$78.87
$13.50
= 5.84 Hours
Unaffordable
= 8+ Hours
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identify neighborhoods facing the greatest affordability challenges, quantify potential impacts of different
forms of assistance, and target outreach and assistance to areas with the greatest need.
The WARi® analysis is an improvement over the U.S. EPA’s Residential Indicator. In contrast to the
simplified RI approach, WARi® accounts for income distribution and actual typical residential water and
sewer bills at the census block level. This approach is different from the traditional calculation used by U.S.
EPA which uses an average imputed water and sewer bill divided by a single median household income
(MHI) value for the entire service area. WARi® has been specifically designed to leverage the data that
modern utilities have about customer rates, and the highly granular demographic information available from
the US Census Bureau through the American Community Survey. Given Somerville’s population density
Census block were used as opposed to tracts, this provides a greater level of granularity in the analysis.
The following sections explain the assumptions, sources of data, and calculations applied under the
WARi® methodology.
4.3.1 Assumptions and Data
The following assumptions and information are applied in the census blocks to evaluate affordability at
the census block level:
•
Income and typical bills increase uniformly across census blocks when projecting affordability
impacts in future years
•
Income increases at the rate of inflation but income distribution across income bins does not
change over time when projecting affordability impacts
•
Household usage characteristics remain unchanged in affordability projection
•
Projected annual rate increases and changes to rate structures are applied to average
consumption by census block to project affordability over time
•
Consumer price index (CPI) inflation estimate is 2.0% per year
The following sources of data were used in determining the service area WARi®:
•
Somerville’s retail residential billing records for fiscal year 2019
•
Projected retail residential rates for Somerville water and Sewer
•
American Community Survey (ACS) household and income data tables
o
2019 ACS 5-year Median Household Income, Table B19013
o
2019 ACS 5-year Household Income Distribution, Table B19001
o
2019 ACS 5-year Selected Housing Characteristics, Table B25024
•
United States Census Bureau’s Topologically Integrated Geographic Encoding and Referencing
(TIGER) feature class to geolocate accounts
4. Affordability Analysis
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4.3.2 WARi® Calculations
Previously discussed assumptions and data sources are combined to evaluate the financial impact of
changes to water and sewer rates in the Somerville service area. The following steps outline the WARi®
calculation methodology.
1. Residential billing accounts were geolocated within the Somerville service area and associated
with a particular census block;
2. Account and census block data were summarized to aggregate data by census block and validate
data;
3. Typical bills were calculated for customers paying standard rates in each census block based on
block-specific usage levels and applying the 2021 rates for Somerville;
4. Census data were gathered for MHI, income distribution, and housing characteristics within each
census block;
5. A residential indicator (similar to EPA’s Residential Indicator) was calculated for each income bin
by dividing the block-specific average annual bill (based on block-level usage and rate data) by
the midpoint income level of each income bin;
6. A weighted average residential indicator was calculated for each block by averaging the
residential indicator in each income bin, weighted by the number of households in each bin;
7. All calculations were repeated for each census block to determine a weighted average residential
indicator for each census block; and
8. A single WARi® value for the service area was calculated as the weighted average residential
indicator from each block, weighted by the number of households in each block.
4.3.3 WARi® Thresholds
The City’s WARi® analysis requires benchmarking in order to put the service area and localized financial
impacts into perspective. For this analysis, the WARi® results were benchmarked against thresholds for
affordability as defined the U.S. EPA for Somerville, expressed as a typical indoor usage bill as a percent
of median household income. For the service area a 10.60% WARI figure maps to the 4.5% U.S. EPA
unaffordable bill threshold, meaning that all WARI scores above 10.60% are indicative of an unfordable
census block. An affordability mapping and color schema have been defined in Table 5.
4. Affordability Analysis
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Table 5 WARi® Financial Impact Thresholds
Financial Impact
EPA Affordability
Index
WARi®
Shading
Low
<2.0%
< 4.71%
Low-Mid
2.0% - 3.0%
4.71% - 7.06%
Mid
3.0% - 3.5%
7.06% - 8.24%
Mid-High
3.5% - 4.5%
8.24% - 10.60%
High
>4.5%
> 10.60%
4.3.4 WARI® Findings – Actual Bills
The WARi® methodology allows for evaluation of affordability at the census block level. Maps were
developed using this approach to illustrate localized bill and income impacts throughout the City’s service
area. Bill impacts were calculated for each block as outlined in Section 4.1.5.
A baseline assessment of affordability was developed based on typical usage levels in each block and the
City’s rates in FY 2021. The FY 2021 WARi® value for the Somerville service area was calculated at
1.53%, well with in the low burden category from Table 5. Figure 5 presents the map of block-level WARi®
results in FY2021 based on actual billing data.
4. Affordability Analysis
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Figure 5 WARi® Map – 2021 Actual Bills
Areas of concern can be identified when looking at regional impacts throughout the City’s service area.
Specifically, the northwest region of the service area shows the greatest level of financial burden detected
in the service area and is low-medium. Overall, the service area does not display widespread affordability
issues when analyzed at the census block level, that is not to say that individual households are not affected
by unaffordable bills. The affordability analysis considers household dynamics as part of the affordability
program considerations in the next section.
Bill impacts were then projected to 2030, the final year of interest in this current rate study. Typical bills
were projected by applying changes to rate revenues as developed during the course of this study and
discussed in section 2 of this report. The Somerville service area WARi® value in 2031 was calculated at
2.25%, placing the financial impact still in the low burden range, but higher than the baseline. Figure 6
presents projected block-level WARi® results in 2021, 2024, 2027, and 2030 based on actual typical usage
levels.
4. Affordability Analysis
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Figure 6 WARi® Map – 2021-2030 Actual Bills
The financial burden associated with paying water and sewer bills clearly increases from 2021 to 2030 as
bills are projected to increase faster than household incomes. This is evident as an increasing number of
blocks move into the mid-impact category with a block-level WARi® value of at least 4.72%. It should be
noted though even with the increases applied for the next 10 years the overall service area still shows broad
affordability.
In addition to the WARI analysis, the data that underpinned the analysis was further investigated for the
purpose of defining affordability at the household level. This step recognizes that affordability is a household
by household dynamic and while averages are useful for determining the prevalence of unaffordability when
it is concentrated, they can often overlook acute instances of unaffordability. In order to understand the
scale of unaffordability at the household level the average bill by census block was divided into each
household’s income in the block and for households where the bill exceeds a 10.60% burden they are
considered unaffordable. Figure 7 displays the service area wide estimate of households with unaffordable
bills and demonstrates a range of 2,180 - 3,460 households have unaffordable bills.
4. Affordability Analysis
City of Somerville| Water and Sewer Rate Study Report
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Figure 7 – Household Unaffordable Bill Estimate
CUSTOMER ASSISTANCE PROGRAM
In recognition of affordability challenges faced by specific households in the service area, Stantec and City
staff developed a framework by which to construct a direct assistance pilot program. Direct assistance
programs assist with affordability of utility bills by providing a reduced bill for those properties that qualify
the assistance. To help frame a customer assistance program several key factors should be taken into
consideration including:
Funding - Where will assistance funding come from and what is the amount of funding that will be dedicated
to the assistance program?
Eligibility - What level of income or other factors be considered when determining eligibility for the
program?
Level of Assistance - What level of assistance will be provided and will assistance vary based on income
level or be uniform for all eligible participants?
Each of these factors were considered in the development of the initial framework for a customer assistance
program for the City’s utilities. With regards to funding of the program we recommend that any assistance
program be funded from outside of the Utility. Since the majority of the Utility’s costs are fixed (e.g., debt
service) funding an assistance programs from utility revenues will lead to a paradigm whereby decreasing
one set of customer’s bills will lead to increases in others, potentially exacerbating the unaffordability of
other customer’s bills. Funding from an outside source such as an appropriation from the stabilization
reserve, will provide assistance without any knock-on effects to other customers. For this reason, it
recommended that the City use an outside of the utility funding source.
4. Affordability Analysis
City of Somerville| Water and Sewer Rate Study Report
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With regards to income and eligibility, the most commonly used metric is the federal poverty level.
Specifically, 200% of the federal poverty level is often used as the maximum income for eligibility into
affordability programs. We recommend that the City use this common industry threshold in designing a pilot
affordability program. It should be noted that in Stantec’s experience there is often a gap in the number of
households who are eligible and those who avail themselves of an assistance program. As such the pilot
will assist in determining the level of demand in the community and providing a flexible framework that can
evolve to best help customers in need. The amount of the discount provided by the customer assistance
program is fundamentally a policy decision. One approach is to scale the benefits with either household
size or declining income. Doing so allows the benefits of the program to be uniformly distributed recognizing
that households often times have differing circumstances. Table 6 displays an example scaling of utility bill
assistance based on declining household income as measured against the federal poverty line. Then Figure
8 displays the application of assistance to a 2 person household at different household income levels,
highlighting the increasing assistance that scaling provides as income falls.
Table 6 – Assistance Scaling by Income
100% of Federal
Poverty Level
125% of Federal
Poverty Level
150% of Federal
Poverty Level
175% of Federal
Poverty Level
200% of Federal
Poverty Level
Bill Assistance
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
Figure 8 – Assistance for an Average home (2 Person) $835 Annual W&S Bill
$379
$337
$294
$252
$210
100% of Federal
Poverty Level
125% of Federal
Poverty Level
150% of Federal
Poverty Level
175% of Federal
Poverty Level
200% of Federal
Poverty Level
5. Conclusions
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CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Based upon the analysis presented herein and the results presented in the prior subsections, we have
developed the following conclusions and recommendation for the City’s consideration:
•
The City’s current water and sewer rates will not be sufficient to fund its future expenses, should
they occur as planned. As such a plan of rate revenue adjustments has been developed for both
the water and sewer utility in order to ensure that fiscal sustainability can be achieved by balancing
revenues with expected expenditures. The recommended water and sewer rate adjustments for
FY2022 are presented below along with estimated future year adjustments.
Recommended Water and Sewer Revenue Adjustments
Fiscal Year
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
Effective Date
7/1/2021
7/1/2022
7/1/2023
7/1/2024
7/1/2025
Water Volumetric
Adjustments
7.00%
10.00%
10.00%
10.00%
10.00%
Sewer Volumetric
Adjustments
10.50%
10.50%
10.50%
10.50%
10.50%
•
The City’s current water and sewer bills are broadly affordable when viewed at the service level or
census block group level. When affordability calculations are run at the household level there are
an estimated 2,820 households that have an unaffordable utility bill. A such a direct assistance
program targeted at these households is warranted and could provide relief, in light of rising utility
bills.
The City should continue to review the financial sustainability of the water and sewer fund on an annual
basis. Doing so will allow for the recognition of revenues and expenses that may occur differently than
forecasted in this Study, as well as changes to customer class characteristics and system costs. In doing
so, the City may consider necessary adjustments to its rates in the future.
Disclaimer
City of Somerville| Water and Sewer Rate Study Report
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Disclaimer
This document was produced by Stantec Consulting Services, Inc. (“Stantec”) for the City of Somerville
(“City”) and is based on a specific scope agreed upon by both parties. Stantec’s scope of work and services
do not include serving as a “municipal advisor” for purposes of the registration requirements of the Dodd-
Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (2010) or the municipal advisor registration rules
issued by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Stantec is not advising the City, or any municipal
entity or other person or entity, regarding municipal financial products or the issuance of municipal
securities, including advice with respect to the structure, terms, or other similar matters concerning such
products or issuances.
In preparing this report, Stantec utilized information and data obtained from the City or public and/or industry
sources. Stantec has relied on the information and data without independent verification, except only to the
extent such verification is expressly described in this document. Any projections of future conditions
presented in the document are not intended as predictions, as there may be differences between forecasted
and actual results, and those differences may be material.
Additionally, the purpose of this document is to summarize Stantec’s analysis and findings related to this
project, and it is not intended to address all aspects that may surround the subject area. Therefore, this
document may have limitations, assumptions, or reliances on data that are not readily apparent on the face
of it. Moreover, the reader should understand that Stantec was called on to provide judgments on a variety
of critical factors which are incapable of precise measurement. As such, the use of this document and its
findings by the City should only occur after consultation with Stantec, and any use of this document and
findings by any other person is done so entirely at their own risk.
Appendix A: Water Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules
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APPENDIX A: WATER FUND FINANCIAL SUSTAINABILITY
ANALYSIS SUPPORTING SCHEDULES
Schedule 1
Assumptions
Schedule 2
FY 2021 Beginning Balances as of 7/1/2020
Schedule 3
Projection of Cash Inflows
Schedule 4
Projection of Cash Outflows
Schedule 5
Cost Escalation Factors
Schedule 6
Capital Investment Plan (CIP)
Schedule 7
FAMS - Control Panel
Schedule 8
Pro Forma
Schedule 9
Funding Summary by Fund
Appendix A: Water Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules
Assumptions
Schedule 1
FY 2021
FY 2022
FY 2023
FY 2024
FY 2025
FY 2026
FY 2027
FY 2028
FY 2029
FY 2030
FY 2031
Rate Increase Adoption Date
7/1/2020
7/1/2021
7/1/2022
7/1/2023
7/1/2024
7/1/2025
7/1/2026
7/1/2027
7/1/2028
7/1/2029
7/1/2030
Annual Growth
Water System
Ending # of ERUs (1)
17,335
17,405
17,475
17,545
17,615
17,685
17,755
17,825
17,895
17,965
18,035
ERU Growth
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
% Change in ERUs
0.41%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.39%
0.39%
0.39%
0.39%
Usage per ERU
122.13
123.26
123.27
123.28
123.30
123.31
123.32
123.33
123.34
123.35
123.37
% Change in Usage per ERU (2)
-0.69%
0.92%
0.01%
0.01%
0.01%
0.01%
0.01%
0.01%
0.01%
0.01%
0.01%
Usage (CCF) (3)
2,117,216
2,145,366
2,154,206
2,163,045
2,171,884
2,180,723
2,189,563
2,198,402
2,207,241
2,216,081
2,224,920
% Change in Usage
-0.29%
1.33%
0.41%
0.41%
0.41%
0.41%
0.41%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
Revenue Weighted % Change in Usage (4)
-0.38%
1.45%
0.41%
0.41%
0.41%
0.41%
0.41%
0.41%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
Capital Spending
Annual Capital Budget (Future Year Dollars)
4,770,000
$
7,970,000
$
12,380,000
$
15,060,000
$
11,160,000
$
11,390,000
$
10,010,000
$
10,360,000
$
10,740,000
$
11,060,000
$
11,400,000
$
Average Annual Interest Earnings Rate
On Fund Balances
0.75%
0.75%
0.75%
0.75%
0.75%
0.75%
0.75%
0.75%
0.75%
0.75%
0.75%
Operating Budget Reserve (5)
Target (Number of Months of Reserve)
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
Operating Budget Execution Percentage
Personal Services
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
MWRA Assessment
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Fixed Operations and Maintenance
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Capital Outlay
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1) Equivalent residential units (ERUs) are a unit of measurement based upon a standard single-family residential home (5/8" meter) used to establish rates, fees and charges, and volume capacity limits.
(2) FY 2021 assumption of reduced volume per ERU driven by assumed reduction in commercial billed volumes due to continued COVID-19 impacts. The analysis reflects a normalizing adjustment in commercial billed volumes in FY 2022.
(3) A CCF stands for "centum cubic feet" and reflects 100 cubic feet of water, sometimes referred to as an HCF (hundred cubic feet). One CCF is equivalent to approximately 748 gallons.
(4) Considers the weighted impact of projected usage assumptions by customer class. For example, commercial customers do not have a conservation tier for billed usage and therefore a reduction in usage per customer would hold a greater impact.
(5) Reflects reserve target of 30% of operating expenditures per discussions with City Staff.
City of Somerville | Water and Sewer Rate Study Report
Stantec | 24
Appendix A: Water Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules
FY 2021 Beginning Balances as of 7/1/2020 (1)
Schedule 2
Fund Number
6000
7400
Stantec Grouping of Funds in Model
Enterprise Fund
Stabilization Fund
Current Unrestricted Assets
Cash and Cash Equivalents (2)
1,910,456
$
4,361,567
$
Receivables Net of Allowance for Uncollectible
4,705,415
$
-
$
Total Assets
6,615,871
$
4,361,567
$
Current Liabilities
Warrants Payable
(425,227)
$
-
$
Accrued Payroll
(24,261)
$
-
$
Accrued Interest
(26,483)
$
-
$
Compensated Absences
(1,000)
$
-
$
Current Portion of Notes Payable (BAN)
(3,415,710)
$
-
$
Current Portion of Bonds Payable
(1,123,234)
$
-
$
Calculated Fund Balance (Current Assets - Current Liabilities)
1,599,956
$
4,361,567
$
Unrestricted Fund Balance Adjustments
Plus: Current Portion of Notes Payable (3)
3,415,710
$
-
$
Plus: Current Portion of Bonds Payable (3)
1,123,234
$
-
$
Less: FY 2021 Liens Redeemed
(323,298)
$
-
$
Less: Reclass Water Capital Expense (4)
-
$
(2,101,014)
$
Net Unrestricted Fund Balance for Rate Setting
5,815,602
$
2,260,553
$
Available Fund Balance for Rate Setting
5,815,602
$
2,260,553
$
Fund Summary
Enterprise Fund
5,815,602
$
Stabilization Fund
2,260,553
$
Total Available Funds for Rate Setting (5)
8,076,155
$
(1) Figures as of 6/30/2020 presented herein are per the City's Audited FY 2020 Comprehensive Annual Financial Report (Audited Report) and detailed Audited Report workpapers provided by City Staff.
(2) Sub-fund apportionment of cash and cash equivalents derived per the City's detailed Audited Report workpapers. Adjustments for the reclass of water capital expenses are reported separately (refer to footnote 4).
(3) Current portion of notes payable and bonds payable is omitted from the available fund balance calculation as the debt service associated is reflected within the annual cash flows forecast.
(4) The City's detailed Audited Report workpapers include a report journal entry (JE #47) to reclass water and sewer capital expenses, resulting in a $2.1 million reduction in available cash and cash equivalents as of
6/30/2020.
(5) Note that operating encumbrances and use of retained earnings have not been removed from beginning "available funds for rate setting" presented herein, but are accounted for elsewhere in the analysis.
City of Somerville | Water and Sewer Rate Study Report
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Appendix A: Water Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules
Schedule 3
FY 2021
FY 2022
FY 2023
FY 2024
FY 2025
FY 2026
FY 2027
FY 2028
FY 2029
FY 2030
FY 2031
1
Rate Revenue Growth Assumptions
2
Water
3
% Change in ERUs (Base Revenue)
0.41%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.39%
0.39%
0.39%
0.39%
4
% Change in Billed Volume (Usage Revenue)
-0.38%
1.45%
0.41%
0.41%
0.41%
0.41%
0.41%
0.41%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
5
Assumed Rate Revenue Increases
6
Assumed Water Base Rate Increase
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
7
Assumed Water Usage Rate Increase
0.00%
7.00%
10.00%
10.00%
10.00%
10.00%
7.00%
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
8
Water Rate Revenue (1)
9
Base Rate Revenue
905,705
$
932,004
$
935,753
$
939,501
$
943,249
$
946,998
$
950,746
$
954,494
$
958,243
$
961,991
$
965,740
$
10
Usage Rate Revenue
12,662,179
$
14,084,114
$
15,556,755
$
17,183,084
$
18,979,111
$
20,962,512
$
22,521,362
$
23,743,479
$
25,031,503
$
26,388,972
$
27,819,608
$
11
Total Water Rate Revenue (1)
13,567,884
$
15,016,118
$
16,492,508
$
18,122,585
$
19,922,360
$
21,909,510
$
23,472,109
$
24,697,973
$
25,989,746
$
27,350,963
$
28,785,348
$
12
Other Operating Revenue
13
Water Liens Redeemed (2)
323,298
$
712,314
$
381,494
$
419,003
$
460,416
$
506,140
$
556,625
$
596,324
$
627,468
$
660,286
$
694,869
$
14
Misc Receipts
285,000
$
285,000
$
285,000
$
285,000
$
285,000
$
285,000
$
285,000
$
285,000
$
285,000
$
285,000
$
285,000
$
15
Total Other Operating Revenue
608,298
$
997,314
$
666,494
$
704,003
$
745,416
$
791,140
$
841,625
$
881,324
$
912,468
$
945,286
$
979,869
$
16
Interest Income
17
Unrestricted (3)
42,045
$
40,137
$
36,540
$
31,007
$
28,264
$
29,669
$
33,540
$
37,282
$
40,005
$
42,544
$
46,072
$
18
Total Interest Income
42,045
$
40,137
$
36,540
$
31,007
$
28,264
$
29,669
$
33,540
$
37,282
$
40,005
$
42,544
$
46,072
$
19
Stabilization Fund Contributions to Debt Service (4)
1,423,728
$
955,080
$
409,582
$
407,536
$
407,528
$
583,035
$
602,306
$
562,433
$
439,220
$
533,000
$
597,609
$
20
Total Cash Inflows
15,641,955
$
17,008,649
$
17,605,124
$
19,265,130
$
21,103,568
$
23,313,355
$
24,949,580
$
26,179,013
$
27,381,439
$
28,871,793
$
30,408,898
$
(3) Calculated based upon assumed interest earnings percentage (refer to Schedule 1) that is applied to average annual projected fund balances (refer to Schedule 9).
Projection of Cash Inflows
(1) Note that in addition to the growth assumptions and rate increases presented herein, the rate revenue projection for FY 2022 also includes an adjustment to "normalize" the City's assumed level of bill collections. Starting in FY 2023, rate
revenues are projected based upon a higher level of collected rate revenues; consequently, the water liens redeemed assumption is reduced going forward (refer to footnote 2 of this Schedule or refer to the Pro Forma on Schedule 8).
(2) The City's water liens redeemed have averaged at approximately 2.5% of annual rate revenues over the past 3 years (FY 2018 - FY 2020). Per discussions with City Staff, the financial projection assumes that water liens are collected within 1
year of their original bill date, with exception for FY 2020. Due to the impacts of COVID-19, the analysis assumes that uncollected water liens (in excess of 1 year) from FY 2020 will be recovered in FY 2022. The financial projection assumes water
liens redeemed at 2.5% of rate revenue in each year thereafter.
(4) Reflects contribution of available Water Stabilization Fund balances to offset annual projected debt service. Additional information related to the Water Stabilization Fund (including assumed contributions from the General Fund) is presented on
Schedule 9.
City of Somerville | Water and Sewer Rate Study Report
Stantec | 26
Appendix A: Water Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules
Projection of Cash Outflows
Schedule 4
Expense Line Item
Escalation Factor
FY 2021 (1)
FY 2022
FY 2023
FY 2024
FY 2025
FY 2026
FY 2027
FY 2028
FY 2029
FY 2030
FY 2031
1
600051 - WATER PERSONAL SERVICE
2
SALARIES
Salaries & Wages
535,455
$
551,519
$
568,064
$
585,106
$
602,659
$
620,739
$
639,361
$
658,542
$
678,298
$
698,647
$
719,607
$
3
SALARIES CONTINGENCY
Salaries & Wages
71,681
$
73,831
$
76,046
$
78,328
$
80,678
$
83,098
$
85,591
$
88,159
$
90,803
$
93,527
$
96,333
$
4
WAGES
Salaries & Wages
619,142
$
637,716
$
656,848
$
676,553
$
696,850
$
717,755
$
739,288
$
761,467
$
784,311
$
807,840
$
832,075
$
5
OVERTIME
Salaries & Wages
7,360
$
7,581
$
7,808
$
8,042
$
8,284
$
8,532
$
8,788
$
9,052
$
9,323
$
9,603
$
9,891
$
6
OVERTIME - LABOR
Salaries & Wages
110,000
$
113,300
$
116,699
$
120,200
$
123,806
$
127,520
$
131,346
$
135,286
$
139,345
$
143,525
$
147,831
$
7
LONGEVITY
Salaries & Wages
1,760
$
1,813
$
1,867
$
1,923
$
1,981
$
2,040
$
2,102
$
2,165
$
2,230
$
2,296
$
2,365
$
8
OUT OF GRADE-LABOR
Salaries & Wages
5,000
$
5,150
$
5,305
$
5,464
$
5,628
$
5,796
$
5,970
$
6,149
$
6,334
$
6,524
$
6,720
$
9
LONGEVITY-LABOR
Salaries & Wages
2,400
$
2,472
$
2,546
$
2,623
$
2,701
$
2,782
$
2,866
$
2,952
$
3,040
$
3,131
$
3,225
$
10
OTHER DIFFERENTIALS
Salaries & Wages
32,609
$
33,587
$
34,595
$
35,633
$
36,702
$
37,803
$
38,937
$
40,105
$
41,308
$
42,547
$
43,824
$
11
HOLIDAYS NON-UNION
Salaries & Wages
1,574
$
1,621
$
1,670
$
1,720
$
1,772
$
1,825
$
1,879
$
1,936
$
1,994
$
2,054
$
2,115
$
12
UNIFORM ALLOWANCE
Salaries & Wages
5,565
$
5,732
$
5,904
$
6,081
$
6,263
$
6,451
$
6,645
$
6,844
$
7,050
$
7,261
$
7,479
$
13
OTHER LUMP SUM PAYMENTS
Salaries & Wages
50,000
$
51,500
$
53,045
$
54,636
$
56,275
$
57,964
$
59,703
$
61,494
$
63,339
$
65,239
$
67,196
$
14
STIPENDS OTHER
Salaries & Wages
17,664
$
18,194
$
18,740
$
19,302
$
19,881
$
20,477
$
21,092
$
21,724
$
22,376
$
23,048
$
23,739
$
15
NEW IAM ENGINEERING STAFF
Salaries & Wages
-
$
63,201
$
65,097
$
67,050
$
69,061
$
71,133
$
73,267
$
75,465
$
77,729
$
80,061
$
82,463
$
16
NEW W&S OPS STAFF
Salaries & Wages
-
$
87,332
$
89,952
$
92,651
$
95,430
$
98,293
$
101,242
$
104,279
$
107,407
$
110,630
$
113,948
$
17
600052 - WATER ORDINARY MAINTENANCE
18
REPAIRS-VEHICLES
Repair & Maintenance
5,000
$
5,125
$
5,253
$
5,384
$
5,519
$
5,657
$
5,798
$
5,943
$
6,092
$
6,244
$
6,400
$
19
REPAIRS-TOOLS & EQUIPMENT
Repair & Maintenance
10,000
$
10,250
$
10,506
$
10,769
$
11,038
$
11,314
$
11,597
$
11,887
$
12,184
$
12,489
$
12,801
$
20
MAINT CONTRACT-OFFC EQUIP
O&M General
6,000
$
6,180
$
6,365
$
6,556
$
6,753
$
6,956
$
7,164
$
7,379
$
7,601
$
7,829
$
8,063
$
21
LEASE - PHOTOCOPIES
O&M General
320
$
330
$
339
$
350
$
360
$
371
$
382
$
394
$
405
$
418
$
430
$
22
RENTAL-WATER COOLER
O&M General
200
$
206
$
212
$
219
$
225
$
232
$
239
$
246
$
253
$
261
$
269
$
23
RUBBISH REMOVAL
Professional Services
35,000
$
36,050
$
37,132
$
38,245
$
39,393
$
40,575
$
41,792
$
43,046
$
44,337
$
45,667
$
47,037
$
24
PROFESSIONL & TECHNCL SVC
Professional Services
235,900
$
242,977
$
250,266
$
257,774
$
265,508
$
273,473
$
281,677
$
290,127
$
298,831
$
307,796
$
317,030
$
25
EMPLOYEE TRAINING COURSES
O&M General
5,000
$
5,150
$
5,305
$
5,464
$
5,628
$
5,796
$
5,970
$
6,149
$
6,334
$
6,524
$
6,720
$
26
ADVERTISING
O&M General
250
$
258
$
265
$
273
$
281
$
290
$
299
$
307
$
317
$
326
$
336
$
27
POLICE DETAIL
O&M General
100,000
$
103,000
$
106,090
$
109,273
$
112,551
$
115,927
$
119,405
$
122,987
$
126,677
$
130,477
$
134,392
$
28
BANK CHARGES
O&M General
1,200
$
1,236
$
1,273
$
1,311
$
1,351
$
1,391
$
1,433
$
1,476
$
1,520
$
1,566
$
1,613
$
29
WEB SITE COSTS
O&M General
10,500
$
10,815
$
11,139
$
11,474
$
11,818
$
12,172
$
12,538
$
12,914
$
13,301
$
13,700
$
14,111
$
30
OFFICE SUPPLIES
O&M General
2,800
$
2,884
$
2,971
$
3,060
$
3,151
$
3,246
$
3,343
$
3,444
$
3,547
$
3,653
$
3,763
$
31
PRINTING & STATIONERY
O&M General
27,520
$
28,346
$
29,196
$
30,072
$
30,974
$
31,903
$
32,860
$
33,846
$
34,862
$
35,907
$
36,985
$
32
COMPUTER EQUIPMENT NOT CAPITAL
O&M General
3,000
$
3,090
$
3,183
$
3,278
$
3,377
$
3,478
$
3,582
$
3,690
$
3,800
$
3,914
$
4,032
$
33
PLUMBING SUPPLIES
O&M General
400
$
412
$
424
$
437
$
450
$
464
$
478
$
492
$
507
$
522
$
538
$
34
TOOLS
O&M General
3,000
$
3,090
$
3,183
$
3,278
$
3,377
$
3,478
$
3,582
$
3,690
$
3,800
$
3,914
$
4,032
$
35
PAINT
O&M General
7,000
$
7,210
$
7,426
$
7,649
$
7,879
$
8,115
$
8,358
$
8,609
$
8,867
$
9,133
$
9,407
$
36
HARDWARE & SMALL TOOLS
O&M General
7,500
$
7,725
$
7,957
$
8,195
$
8,441
$
8,695
$
8,955
$
9,224
$
9,501
$
9,786
$
10,079
$
37
SUNDRY MAINT SUPPLIES
O&M General
2,500
$
2,575
$
2,652
$
2,732
$
2,814
$
2,898
$
2,985
$
3,075
$
3,167
$
3,262
$
3,360
$
38
SAND, GRAVEL, &
Fuel, Utilities, Chemicals
750
$
788
$
827
$
868
$
912
$
957
$
1,005
$
1,055
$
1,108
$
1,163
$
1,222
$
39
MOTOR GAS AND OIL
Fuel, Utilities, Chemicals
37,950
$
39,848
$
41,840
$
43,932
$
46,128
$
48,435
$
50,857
$
53,399
$
56,069
$
58,873
$
61,817
$
40
TIRES AND TUBES
O&M General
3,000
$
3,090
$
3,183
$
3,278
$
3,377
$
3,478
$
3,582
$
3,690
$
3,800
$
3,914
$
4,032
$
41
MOTOR PARTS & ACCESSORIES
O&M General
2,500
$
2,575
$
2,652
$
2,732
$
2,814
$
2,898
$
2,985
$
3,075
$
3,167
$
3,262
$
3,360
$
42
BOOKS
O&M General
898
$
925
$
953
$
981
$
1,011
$
1,041
$
1,072
$
1,104
$
1,138
$
1,172
$
1,207
$
43
SIGNS AND CONES
O&M General
5,000
$
5,150
$
5,305
$
5,464
$
5,628
$
5,796
$
5,970
$
6,149
$
6,334
$
6,524
$
6,720
$
44
BITUMINOUS SUPPLIES
O&M General
25,000
$
25,750
$
26,523
$
27,318
$
28,138
$
28,982
$
29,851
$
30,747
$
31,669
$
32,619
$
33,598
$
45
READY MIX CONCRETE
O&M General
12,500
$
12,875
$
13,261
$
13,659
$
14,069
$
14,491
$
14,926
$
15,373
$
15,835
$
16,310
$
16,799
$
46
LUMBER & WOOD PRODUCTS
O&M General
2,000
$
2,060
$
2,122
$
2,185
$
2,251
$
2,319
$
2,388
$
2,460
$
2,534
$
2,610
$
2,688
$
47
FOUNDRY PRODUCTS
O&M General
5,000
$
5,150
$
5,305
$
5,464
$
5,628
$
5,796
$
5,970
$
6,149
$
6,334
$
6,524
$
6,720
$
48
UNIFORMS
O&M General
1,000
$
1,030
$
1,061
$
1,093
$
1,126
$
1,159
$
1,194
$
1,230
$
1,267
$
1,305
$
1,344
$
49
PAYMENTS TO COMMONWEALTH
Water ERUs Growth
40,000
$
40,162
$
40,323
$
40,485
$
40,646
$
40,808
$
40,969
$
41,131
$
41,292
$
41,454
$
41,615
$
50
IN STATE TRAVEL
O&M General
100
$
103
$
106
$
109
$
113
$
116
$
119
$
123
$
127
$
130
$
134
$
51
DUES AND MEMBERSHIPS
O&M General
1,500
$
1,545
$
1,591
$
1,639
$
1,688
$
1,739
$
1,791
$
1,845
$
1,900
$
1,957
$
2,016
$
52
REIMB OF LICENSES
O&M General
1,000
$
1,030
$
1,061
$
1,093
$
1,126
$
1,159
$
1,194
$
1,230
$
1,267
$
1,305
$
1,344
$
53
600058 - WATER CAPITAL OUTLAY
54
ENGINEERING / ARCHITECTURE
W&S Maintenance Series -
335,000
$
349,737
$
365,122
$
381,184
$
397,953
$
415,459
$
433,736
$
452,816
$
472,736
$
493,532
$
515,243
$
55
WATER METERS & PARTS
W&S Maintenance Series -
240,000
$
250,558
$
261,580
$
273,087
$
285,101
$
297,642
$
310,736
$
324,406
$
338,676
$
353,575
$
369,129
$
56
HYDRANTS
W&S Maintenance Series -
50,000
$
52,200
$
54,496
$
56,893
$
59,396
$
62,009
$
64,737
$
67,584
$
70,558
$
73,661
$
76,902
$
57
LEAK DETECTION PROGRAM
W&S Maintenance Series -
21,500
$
22,446
$
23,433
$
24,464
$
25,540
$
26,664
$
27,837
$
29,061
$
30,340
$
31,674
$
33,068
$
58
PIPE FITTINGS
W&S Maintenance Series -
5,000
$
5,220
$
5,450
$
5,689
$
5,940
$
6,201
$
6,474
$
6,758
$
7,056
$
7,366
$
7,690
$
59
WATER SERVICE REPLACEMENT
W&S Maintenance Series -
1,500,000
$
1,565,986
$
1,634,876
$
1,706,795
$
1,781,879
$
1,860,265
$
1,942,100
$
2,027,535
$
2,116,728
$
2,209,845
$
2,307,058
$
60
WATER RECONSTRUCTION/RPAR
W&S Maintenance Series -
1,000,000
$
1,043,991
$
1,089,917
$
1,137,864
$
1,187,919
$
1,240,177
$
1,294,733
$
1,351,690
$
1,411,152
$
1,473,230
$
1,538,039
$
City of Somerville | Water and Sewer Rate Study Report
Stantec | 27
Appendix A: Water Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules
Projection of Cash Outflows
Schedule 4
Expense Line Item
Escalation Factor
FY 2021 (1)
FY 2022
FY 2023
FY 2024
FY 2025
FY 2026
FY 2027
FY 2028
FY 2029
FY 2030
FY 2031
61
600060 - WATER SPECIAL ITEMS
62
MWRA ASSESSMENT
MWRA Assessment
8,711,112
$
9,012,516
$
9,451,515
$
9,829,576
$
10,222,759
$
10,631,669
$
11,056,936
$
11,499,213
$
11,959,182
$
12,437,549
$
12,935,051
$
63
INDIRECT COST SUBSIDY
Indirect Cost Subsidy
713,220
$
734,617
$
756,655
$
779,355
$
802,735
$
826,817
$
851,622
$
877,171
$
903,486
$
930,590
$
958,508
$
64
Transfers Out
65
Transfer Earnings to Rate Stabilization Fund (2)
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
175,507
$
194,778
$
154,905
$
31,692
$
125,472
$
190,081
$
66
Total Transfers Out
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
175,507
$
194,778
$
154,905
$
31,692
$
125,472
$
190,081
$
67
Debt Service
68
Existing MWRA Notes
69
June 6 2016 MWRA Water
27,600
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
70
June 11 2012 MWRA Water
133,600
$
133,600
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
71
June 3 2013 MWRA Water
124,234
$
124,234
$
124,234
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
72
September 8 2014 MWRA Water
87,500
$
87,500
$
87,500
$
87,500
$
87,500
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
73
March 20 2107 MWRA Water
166,000
$
166,000
$
166,000
$
166,000
$
166,000
$
166,000
$
166,000
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
74
August 27, 2018 MWRA Water
254,300
$
254,300
$
254,300
$
254,300
$
254,300
$
254,300
$
254,300
$
254,300
$
254,300
$
-
$
-
$
75
December 2, 2019 MWRA Water
90,000
$
90,000
$
90,000
$
90,000
$
90,000
$
90,000
$
90,000
$
90,000
$
90,000
$
90,000
$
-
$
76
Existing Municipal Purpose
77
April 1 2010- Water Mains
27,250
$
26,250
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
78
December 7 2017 - Adv Ref Feb 15 10 Water
111,981
$
110,908
$
100,186
$
95,614
$
93,842
$
90,642
$
87,442
$
84,002
$
103,200
$
96,069
$
-
$
79
June 7 2018 Series B- Cedar St Water Repairs
26,556
$
26,156
$
30,756
$
30,306
$
29,706
$
29,106
$
28,506
$
27,906
$
27,306
$
26,706
$
26,106
$
80
June 6 2019 - CEDAR ST WATER REPAIRS
39,500
$
38,750
$
38,000
$
37,250
$
36,500
$
40,750
$
39,750
$
38,750
$
37,750
$
36,950
$
41,150
$
81
June 6 2019 - WATER MAIN REHAB & REPLACEMENT
138,150
$
140,650
$
137,900
$
140,150
$
137,150
$
139,150
$
140,900
$
137,400
$
138,900
$
140,900
$
137,700
$
82
June 4 2020 - Cedar St Water Repairs
36,916
$
41,350
$
40,350
$
39,350
$
38,350
$
37,350
$
41,350
$
40,100
$
38,850
$
37,600
$
36,350
$
83
June 4 2020 - Water Main Rehabilitation & Replacement
93,060
$
96,506
$
94,256
$
92,006
$
94,756
$
92,256
$
94,756
$
97,006
$
94,006
$
96,006
$
92,756
$
84
Future Long-Term Projects
85
Pitman St. - Water Improvements (3)
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
58,987
$
58,987
$
58,987
$
58,987
$
58,987
$
58,987
$
58,987
$
86
Water Meter Replacement
-
$
-
$
426,165
$
857,683
$
857,683
$
857,683
$
857,683
$
857,683
$
857,683
$
857,683
$
857,683
$
87
Water Vehicles
-
$
51,843
$
51,843
$
51,843
$
51,843
$
51,843
$
51,843
$
51,843
$
51,843
$
51,843
$
51,843
$
88
Lead Line Replacement Program
-
$
101,616
$
175,282
$
312,394
$
453,994
$
600,218
$
748,966
$
899,989
$
1,053,539
$
1,209,617
$
1,368,222
$
89
BAN Projects & Associated Long-Term Debt Service (4)
89
Unspecified FY 2021 (per Budget)
67,081
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
90
Somerville Ave. Utility & Streetscape Improvements - Water
-
$
46,125
$
49,725
$
7,650
$
8,100
$
8,500
$
4,000
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
91
Long-Term
-
$
-
$
-
$
170,191
$
170,191
$
170,191
$
182,330
$
193,120
$
193,120
$
193,120
$
193,120
$
92
Water Improvements
-
$
1,743
$
160,020
$
324,495
$
335,475
$
354,475
$
369,975
$
419,250
$
436,250
$
452,500
$
467,500
$
93
Long-Term
-
$
-
$
6,576
$
6,576
$
445,777
$
910,114
$
1,392,872
$
1,895,322
$
2,417,463
$
2,960,566
$
3,525,901
$
94
Spring Hill Sewer Separation - Project Area 1 Water Line Improvements
-
$
-
$
67,066
$
141,626
$
132,551
$
64,434
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
95
Long-Term
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
184,073
$
394,566
$
558,283
$
558,283
$
558,283
$
558,283
$
558,283
$
96
Spring Hill Sewer Separation - Highland Ave Water Line Improvements
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
49,329
$
70,180
$
15,371
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
97
Long-Term
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
139,262
$
178,317
$
178,317
$
178,317
$
178,317
$
98
Spring Hill Sewer Separation - Project Area 2B Water Line Improvements (5)
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
32,345
$
76,769
$
44,424
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
99
Long-Term
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
82,184
$
195,059
$
195,059
$
195,059
$
100
Total Debt Service
1,423,728
$
1,537,531
$
2,100,159
$
2,904,934
$
3,776,107
$
4,513,090
$
5,399,345
$
6,008,867
$
6,784,857
$
7,240,206
$
7,788,978
$
101
Total Expenses by Category
102
Personal Services
1,460,210
$
1,654,549
$
1,704,186
$
1,755,311
$
1,807,971
$
1,862,210
$
1,918,076
$
1,975,618
$
2,034,887
$
2,095,933
$
2,158,811
$
103
MWRA Assessment
8,711,112
$
9,012,516
$
9,451,515
$
9,829,576
$
10,222,759
$
10,631,669
$
11,056,936
$
11,499,213
$
11,959,182
$
12,437,549
$
12,935,051
$
104
Operations & Maintenance
1,314,508
$
1,353,604
$
1,393,904
$
1,435,448
$
1,478,274
$
1,522,422
$
1,567,935
$
1,614,856
$
1,663,229
$
1,713,101
$
1,764,519
$
105
Capital Outlay
3,151,500
$
3,290,137
$
3,434,874
$
3,585,977
$
3,743,727
$
3,908,417
$
4,080,352
$
4,259,851
$
4,447,246
$
4,642,884
$
4,847,129
$
106
Transfers Out
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
175,507
$
194,778
$
154,905
$
31,692
$
125,472
$
190,081
$
107
Debt Service
1,423,728
$
1,537,531
$
2,100,159
$
2,904,934
$
3,776,107
$
4,513,090
$
5,399,345
$
6,008,867
$
6,784,857
$
7,240,206
$
7,788,978
$
108
Total Expenses
16,061,058
$
16,848,338
$
18,084,638
$
19,511,246
$
21,028,837
$
22,613,315
$
24,217,422
$
25,513,310
$
26,921,091
$
28,255,145
$
29,684,569
$
City of Somerville | Water and Sewer Rate Study Report
Stantec | 28
Appendix A: Water Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules
Projection of Cash Outflows
Schedule 4
Expense Line Item
Escalation Factor
FY 2021 (1)
FY 2022
FY 2023
FY 2024
FY 2025
FY 2026
FY 2027
FY 2028
FY 2029
FY 2030
FY 2031
109
Expense Execution Factors
110
Personal Services
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
111
MWRA Assessment
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
112
Operations & Maintenance
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
113
Capital Outlay
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
114
Transfers Out
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
115
Debt Service
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
116
Expenses at Execution
117
Personal Services
1,460,210
$
1,654,549
$
1,704,186
$
1,755,311
$
1,807,971
$
1,862,210
$
1,918,076
$
1,975,618
$
2,034,887
$
2,095,933
$
2,158,811
$
118
MWRA Assessment
8,711,112
$
9,012,516
$
9,451,515
$
9,829,576
$
10,222,759
$
10,631,669
$
11,056,936
$
11,499,213
$
11,959,182
$
12,437,549
$
12,935,051
$
119
Operations & Maintenance
1,314,508
$
1,353,604
$
1,393,904
$
1,435,448
$
1,478,274
$
1,522,422
$
1,567,935
$
1,614,856
$
1,663,229
$
1,713,101
$
1,764,519
$
120
Capital Outlay
3,151,500
$
3,290,137
$
3,434,874
$
3,585,977
$
3,743,727
$
3,908,417
$
4,080,352
$
4,259,851
$
4,447,246
$
4,642,884
$
4,847,129
$
121
Transfers Out
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
175,507
$
194,778
$
154,905
$
31,692
$
125,472
$
190,081
$
122
Debt Service
1,423,728
$
1,537,531
$
2,100,159
$
2,904,934
$
3,776,107
$
4,513,090
$
5,399,345
$
6,008,867
$
6,784,857
$
7,240,206
$
7,788,978
$
123
Total Expenses
16,061,058
$
16,848,338
$
18,084,638
$
19,511,246
$
21,028,837
$
22,613,315
$
24,217,422
$
25,513,310
$
26,921,091
$
28,255,145
$
29,684,569
$
124
Projects Designated To Be Funded with Cash (6)
-
$
250,000
$
390,000
$
360,000
$
200,000
$
200,000
$
200,000
$
200,000
$
200,000
$
200,000
$
200,000
$
125
Total Cash Outflows
16,061,058
$
17,098,338
$
18,474,638
$
19,871,246
$
21,228,837
$
22,813,315
$
24,417,422
$
25,713,310
$
27,121,091
$
28,455,145
$
29,884,569
$
(1) FY 2021 operating expenses reflect the City's FY 2021 Revised Budget, after which all future operating costs escalate based upon assumed escalation factors presented on Schedule 5.
(3) Projected debt schedules moved out one year to FY 2025 per discussions with City Staff.
(4) Reflects the City's projected Bond Anticipation Note (BAN) annual interest payments (ranging from 2-5 years per project), as well as the associated long-term debt service payments for each project.
(5) Projected debt schedules moved forward one year to FY 2026 per discussions with City Staff.
(6) Reflects cash funding of vehicles and Yard 3 CIP, as directed by City Staff.
(2) Reflects transfer out of the City's Operating Fund (Fund 6000) to the City's Rate Stabilization Fund. Note that the transfer to the Rate Stabilization Fund is calculated at 60% of positive net cash flow in any given year (net cash flows before any contributions from
the Rate Stabilization Fund for debt service).
City of Somerville | Water and Sewer Rate Study Report
Stantec | 29
Appendix A: Water Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules
Cost Escalation Factors
Schedule 5
Inflation Factor
FY 2022
FY 2023
FY 2024
FY 2025
FY 2026
FY 2027
FY 2028
FY 2029
FY 2030
FY 2031
Salaries & Wages
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
Repair & Maintenance
2.50%
2.50%
2.50%
2.50%
2.50%
2.50%
2.50%
2.50%
2.50%
2.50%
Fuel, Utilities, Chemicals
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
Professional Services
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
O&M General
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
Indirect Cost Subsidy
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
MWRA Assessment (1)
3.46%
4.87%
4.00%
4.00%
4.00%
4.00%
4.00%
4.00%
4.00%
4.00%
W&S Maintenance Series - 10 Year
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
Default Inflation Factor
1.50%
1.50%
1.50%
1.50%
1.50%
1.50%
1.50%
1.50%
1.50%
1.50%
(1) Annual MWRA Assessment cost escalation factor in FY 2022 reflects resulting factor based upon preliminary MWRA estimates. The FY 2023 escalation factor reflects an estimated
assessment increase provided by City Staff. MWRA Assessments in FY 2024 through the remainder of the projection are projected to increase at 4.00% annually based upon a 5 year history of
the assessment change.
City of Somerville | Water and Sewer Rate Study Report
Stantec | 30
Appendix A: Water Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules
Capital Investment Plan (CIP)
Schedule 6
Project Description
FY 2021
FY 2022
FY 2023
FY 2024
FY 2025
FY 2026
FY 2027
FY 2028
FY 2029
FY 2030
FY 2031
Total Cost
Debt Funded Projects (1)
1
Somerville Ave. Utility & Streetscape Improvements - Water
$ 180,000 $ 160,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 340,000
2
Water Improvements
$ - $ 200,000 $ 7,110,000 $ 7,310,000 $ 7,600,000 $ 7,910,000 $ 8,220,000 $ 8,550,000 $ 8,900,000 $ 9,200,000 $ 9,500,000 $ 74,500,000
3
Lead Line Replacement Program
$ 1,060,000 $ 850,000 $ 1,470,000 $ 1,510,000 $ 1,540,000 $ 1,500,000 $ 1,590,000 $ 1,610,000 $ 1,640,000 $ 1,660,000 $ 1,700,000 $ 16,130,000
4
Pitman St. - Water Improvements (2)
$ - $ - $ - $ 1,020,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 1,020,000
5
Water Meter Replacement
$ 3,500,000 $ 3,500,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 7,000,000
6
Spring Hill Sewer Separation - Project Area 1 Water Line Improvements
$ 30,000 $ 2,950,000 $ 3,310,000 $ 2,580,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 8,870,000
7
Spring Hill Sewer Separation - Highland Ave Water Line Improvements
$ - $ 60,000 $ 100,000 $ 2,190,000 $ 610,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 2,960,000
8
Spring Hill Sewer Separation - Project Area 2B Water Line Improvements (3) $ - $ - $ - $ 90,000 $ 1,210,000 $ 1,780,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 3,080,000
9
Cash Funded Projects
10
Water Vehicles
$ - $ 150,000 $ 290,000 $ 260,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 1,400,000
11
Yard 3 Annual PAYGO
$ - $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 1,000,000
12
Total CIP Budget (in Future Dollars) (4)
$ 4,770,000 $ 7,970,000 $ 12,380,000 $ 15,060,000 $ 11,160,000 $ 11,390,000 $ 10,010,000 $ 10,360,000 $ 10,740,000 $ 11,060,000 $ 11,400,000 $ 116,300,000
13
Cumulative Projected Cost Escalation (4)
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
14
Resulting CIP Funding Level
$ 4,770,000 $ 7,970,000 $ 12,380,000 $ 15,060,000 $ 11,160,000 $ 11,390,000 $ 10,010,000 $ 10,360,000 $ 10,740,000 $ 11,060,000 $ 11,400,000 $ 116,300,000
(1) Project amounts and timing presented herein reflects adjustments made during meetings with City Staff. FY 2031 project values were calculated based upon debt service schedules provided by City Staff.
(2) Project and associated debt schedules moved out one year to FY 2025 per discussions with City Staff.
(3) Project and associated debt schedules moved forward one year to FY 2026 per discussions with City Staff.
(4) CIP already includes inflationary assumptions as provided by City Staff.
City of Somerville | Water and Sewer Rate Study Report
Stantec | 31
Appendix A: Water Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules
FAMS - Control Panel
Schedule 7
WATER ENTERPRISE FUND
FY 2021
FY 2022
FY 2023
FY 2024
FY 2025
FY 2026
FY 2027
FY 2028
FY 2029
FY 2030
FY 2031
FY 2026
FY 2031
Water Usage Rate Plan
0.00%
7.00%
10.00%
10.00%
10.00%
10.00%
7.00%
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
56.43%
103.57%
Debt Service Coverage (1.25 Target)
1.92
2.62
2.21
2.01
1.90
1.93
1.82
1.75
1.66
1.67
1.66
Stab. Fund
Debt Service
Debt Service / Revenue
10.0%
9.6%
12.2%
15.4%
18.3%
19.9%
22.2%
23.5%
25.2%
25.6%
26.2%
Growth
Normal
Tri-Annual Single-Family Bill @ 18 CCF
$110.70
$117.02
$126.72
$137.34
$149.06
$162.01
$171.94
$179.49
$187.45
$195.82
$204.60
Check
-
Combined Tri-Annual W&S Single-Family Bill
$315.49
$339.13
$367.97
$399.70
$434.76
$473.51
$511.98
$551.07
$588.93
$629.84
$674.08
Annual W&S Bill as % of MHI
1.0%
1.0%
1.1%
1.2%
1.3%
1.5%
1.6%
1.7%
1.8%
1.9%
2.1%
Net Cash Flow ($ M)
-$0.42
-$0.09
-$0.87
-$0.61
-$0.13
$0.50
$0.53
$0.47
$0.26
$0.42
$0.52
$0.0M
$5.0M
$10.0M
$15.0M
$20.0M
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Operating/Cash
Debt
$0.0M
$1.0M
$2.0M
$3.0M
$4.0M
$5.0M
$6.0M
$7.0M
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Current Plan
Target
$0.0M
$5.0M
$10.0M
$15.0M
$20.0M
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Current Plan
$0.0M
$5.0M
$10.0M
$15.0M
$20.0M
$25.0M
$30.0M
$35.0M
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
O&M
Cash In
Cash Out
$0.0M
$5.0M
$10.0M
$15.0M
$20.0M
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Current Plan
Operating Fund
CIP Spending
Revenues vs. Expenses
CIP Funding
Borrowing
CALC
SAVE
CTRL
LAST
OVR
$0.0M
$0.5M
$1.0M
$1.5M
$2.0M
$2.5M
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Current Plan
Target
Stabilization Fund
City of Somerville | Water and Sewer Rate Study Report
Stantec | 32
Appendix A: Water Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules
Pro Forma
Schedule 8
FY 2021
FY 2022
FY 2023
FY 2024
FY 2025
FY 2026
FY 2027
FY 2028
FY 2029
FY 2030
FY 2031
1
Operating Revenue
2
Water Rate Revenue
13,567,884
$
13,567,884
$
15,016,118
$
16,492,508
$
18,122,585
$
19,922,360
$
21,909,510
$
23,472,109
$
24,697,973
$
25,989,746
$
27,350,963
$
3
Change in Revenue From Growth
-
$
187,646
$
62,139
$
67,978
$
74,401
$
81,467
$
89,239
$
95,223
$
99,797
$
104,599
$
109,642
$
4
Other Revenue Adjustments (1)
-
339,197
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
5
Subtotal
13,567,884
$
14,094,727
$
15,078,257
$
16,560,486
$
18,196,986
$
20,003,827
$
21,998,748
$
23,567,331
$
24,797,770
$
26,094,345
$
27,460,605
$
6
Weighted Average Rate Increase
0.00%
6.54%
9.38%
9.43%
9.48%
9.53%
6.70%
4.80%
4.81%
4.82%
4.82%
7
Additional Rate Revenue From Rate Increase
-
$
921,391
$
1,414,250
$
1,562,099
$
1,725,374
$
1,905,683
$
1,473,360
$
1,130,642
$
1,191,976
$
1,256,618
$
1,324,743
$
8
Total Rate Revenue
13,567,884
$
15,016,118
$
16,492,508
$
18,122,585
$
19,922,360
$
21,909,510
$
23,472,109
$
24,697,973
$
25,989,746
$
27,350,963
$
28,785,348
$
9
Plus: Other Operating Revenue
608,298
$
997,314
$
666,494
$
704,003
$
745,416
$
791,140
$
841,625
$
881,324
$
912,468
$
945,286
$
979,869
$
10
Equals: Total Operating Revenue
14,176,182
$
16,013,432
$
17,159,002
$
18,826,588
$
20,667,776
$
22,700,650
$
24,313,734
$
25,579,297
$
26,902,214
$
28,296,249
$
29,765,217
$
11
Less: Operating Expenses
12
Personal Services
(1,460,210)
$
(1,654,549)
$
(1,704,186)
$
(1,755,311)
$
(1,807,971)
$
(1,862,210)
$
(1,918,076)
$
(1,975,618)
$
(2,034,887)
$
(2,095,933)
$
(2,158,811)
$
13
MWRA Assessment
(8,711,112)
$
(9,012,516)
$
(9,451,515)
$
(9,829,576)
$
(10,222,759)
$
(10,631,669)
$
(11,056,936)
$
(11,499,213)
$
(11,959,182)
$
(12,437,549)
$
(12,935,051)
$
14
Operations & Maintenance Costs
(1,314,508)
$
(1,353,604)
$
(1,393,904)
$
(1,435,448)
$
(1,478,274)
$
(1,522,422)
$
(1,567,935)
$
(1,614,856)
$
(1,663,229)
$
(1,713,101)
$
(1,764,519)
$
15
Equals: Net Operating Income
2,690,352
$
3,992,763
$
4,609,397
$
5,806,253
$
7,158,773
$
8,684,349
$
9,770,787
$
10,489,610
$
11,244,917
$
12,049,666
$
12,906,836
$
16
Plus: Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
17
Interest Income
42,045
$
40,137
$
36,540
$
31,007
$
28,264
$
29,669
$
33,540
$
37,282
$
40,005
$
42,544
$
46,072
$
18
Stabilization Fund Contributions to Debt Service
1,423,728
$
955,080
$
409,582
$
407,536
$
407,528
$
583,035
$
602,306
$
562,433
$
439,220
$
533,000
$
597,609
$
19
Equals: Net Income
4,156,125
$
4,987,980
$
5,055,519
$
6,244,796
$
7,594,566
$
9,297,054
$
10,406,633
$
11,089,326
$
11,724,142
$
12,625,210
$
13,550,517
$
20
Less: Revenues Excluded From Coverage Test
21
Stabilization Fund Contributions to Debt Service
(1,423,728)
$
(955,080)
$
(409,582)
$
(407,536)
$
(407,528)
$
(583,035)
$
(602,306)
$
(562,433)
$
(439,220)
$
(533,000)
$
(597,609)
$
22
Equals: Net Income Available For Debt Service
2,732,397
$
4,032,900
$
4,645,937
$
5,837,260
$
7,187,037
$
8,714,019
$
9,804,327
$
10,526,892
$
11,284,922
$
12,092,210
$
12,952,908
$
23
Total All-In Debt Service Coverage Test
24
Net Income Available for Debt Service
2,732,397
$
4,032,900
$
4,645,937
$
5,837,260
$
7,187,037
$
8,714,019
$
9,804,327
$
10,526,892
$
11,284,922
$
12,092,210
$
12,952,908
$
25
Total Short-Term Debt Service (BAN)
67,081
$
47,868
$
276,811
$
473,771
$
525,455
$
529,934
$
466,115
$
463,674
$
436,250
$
452,500
$
467,500
$
26
Total Long-Term Debt Service
1,356,647
$
1,489,664
$
1,823,348
$
2,431,163
$
3,250,652
$
3,983,156
$
4,933,230
$
5,545,193
$
6,348,607
$
6,787,706
$
7,321,478
$
27
Total Annual Debt Service
Targ.
1,423,728
$
1,537,531
$
2,100,159
$
2,904,934
$
3,776,107
$
4,513,090
$
5,399,345
$
6,008,867
$
6,784,857
$
7,240,206
$
7,788,978
$
28
Calculated All-In Debt Service Coverage
1.25
1.92
2.62
2.21
2.01
1.90
1.93
1.82
1.75
1.66
1.67
1.66
29
Cash Flow Test
30
Net Income Available For Debt Service
2,732,397
$
4,032,900
$
4,645,937
$
5,837,260
$
7,187,037
$
8,714,019
$
9,804,327
$
10,526,892
$
11,284,922
$
12,092,210
$
12,952,908
$
31
Less: Non-Operating Expenditures
32
Net Interfund Transfers (In - Out)
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
(175,507)
$
(194,778)
$
(154,905)
$
(31,692)
$
(125,472)
$
(190,081)
$
33
Net Debt Service Payment (Net of Stabilization Fund Contributions)
-
$
(582,451)
$
(1,690,577)
$
(2,497,398)
$
(3,368,579)
$
(3,930,055)
$
(4,797,039)
$
(5,446,433)
$
(6,345,637)
$
(6,707,206)
$
(7,191,368)
$
34
Capital Outlay
(3,151,500)
$
(3,290,137)
$
(3,434,874)
$
(3,585,977)
$
(3,743,727)
$
(3,908,417)
$
(4,080,352)
$
(4,259,851)
$
(4,447,246)
$
(4,642,884)
$
(4,847,129)
$
35
Cash Flow Surplus/(Deficit)
(419,103)
$
160,312
$
(479,514)
$
(246,115)
$
74,731
$
700,040
$
732,158
$
665,703
$
460,348
$
616,648
$
724,330
$
36
Unrestricted Reserve Fund Test
37
Balance At Beginning Of Fiscal Year
5,815,602
$
5,396,499
$
5,306,811
$
4,437,297
$
3,831,182
$
3,705,913
$
4,205,953
$
4,738,111
$
5,203,814
$
5,464,162
$
5,880,810
$
38
Cash Flow Surplus/(Deficit)
(419,103)
$
160,312
$
(479,514)
$
(246,115)
$
74,731
$
700,040
$
732,158
$
665,703
$
460,348
$
616,648
$
724,330
$
39
Projects Designated To Be Paid With Cash
-
$
(250,000)
$
(390,000)
$
(360,000)
$
(200,000)
$
(200,000)
$
(200,000)
$
(200,000)
$
(200,000)
$
(200,000)
$
(200,000)
$
40
Balance At End Of Fiscal Year
5,396,499
$
5,306,811
$
4,437,297
$
3,831,182
$
3,705,913
$
4,205,953
$
4,738,111
$
5,203,814
$
5,464,162
$
5,880,810
$
6,405,139
$
41
Minimum Working Capital Reserve Target
3,445,749
$
3,606,201
$
3,764,882
$
3,906,100
$
4,052,701
$
4,204,890
$
4,362,884
$
4,526,906
$
4,697,189
$
4,873,975
$
5,057,514
$
42
Excess/(Deficiency) Of Working Capital To Target
1,950,750
$
1,700,611
$
672,416
$
(74,918)
$
(346,788)
$
1,063
$
375,227
$
676,908
$
766,973
$
1,006,835
$
1,347,625
$
(1) Assumption of higher rate revenue collections starting in FY 2022, which serves as basis for future rate revenue projections. Water liens redeemed (within other operating revenue) are projected at 2.50% of rate revenues starting after FY 2022.
City of Somerville | Water and Sewer Rate Study Report
Stantec | 33
Appendix A: Water Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules
Funding Summary by Fund
Schedule 9
FY 2021
FY 2022
FY 2023
FY 2024
FY 2025
FY 2026
FY 2027
FY 2028
FY 2029
FY 2030
FY 2031
Stabilization Fund
Balance At Beginning Of Fiscal Year
2,260,553
$
1,555,080
$
1,009,582
$
1,007,536
$
1,007,528
$
1,007,528
$
1,007,528
$
1,007,528
$
1,007,528
$
1,007,528
$
1,007,528
$
Annual Revenues (1)
704,000
$
400,000
$
400,000
$
400,000
$
400,000
$
575,507
$
594,778
$
554,905
$
431,692
$
525,472
$
590,081
$
Less: Payment Of Debt Service
(1,423,728)
$
(955,080)
$
(409,582)
$
(407,536)
$
(407,528)
$
(583,035)
$
(602,306)
$
(562,433)
$
(439,220)
$
(533,000)
$
(597,609)
$
Subtotal
1,540,825
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
Less: Restricted Funds (2)
(1,000,000)
$
(1,000,000)
$
(1,000,000)
$
(1,000,000)
$
(1,000,000)
$
(1,000,000)
$
(1,000,000)
$
(1,000,000)
$
(1,000,000)
$
(1,000,000)
$
(1,000,000)
$
Total Amount Available For Projects
540,825
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
0
$
-
$
0
$
Amount Paid For Projects
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
Subtotal
540,825
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
0
$
-
$
0
$
Add Back: Restricted Funds (2)
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
Plus: Interest Earnings (3)
14,255
$
9,582
$
7,536
$
7,528
$
7,528
$
7,528
$
7,528
$
7,528
$
7,528
$
7,528
$
7,528
$
Less: Interest Allocated To Cash Flow
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
Balance At End Of Fiscal Year
1,555,080
$
1,009,582
$
1,007,536
$
1,007,528
$
1,007,528
$
1,007,528
$
1,007,528
$
1,007,528
$
1,007,528
$
1,007,528
$
1,007,528
$
Enterprise Fund
Balance At Beginning Of Fiscal Year
5,815,602
$
5,396,499
$
5,306,811
$
4,437,297
$
3,831,182
$
3,705,913
$
4,205,953
$
4,738,111
$
5,203,814
$
5,464,162
$
5,880,810
$
Cash Flow Surplus/(Deficit)
(419,103)
$
160,312
$
(479,514)
$
(246,115)
$
74,731
$
700,040
$
732,158
$
665,703
$
460,348
$
616,648
$
724,330
$
Less: Cash-Funded Capital Projects
-
$
(250,000)
$
(390,000)
$
(360,000)
$
(200,000)
$
(200,000)
$
(200,000)
$
(200,000)
$
(200,000)
$
(200,000)
$
(200,000)
$
Subtotal
5,396,499
$
5,306,811
$
4,437,297
$
3,831,182
$
3,705,913
$
4,205,953
$
4,738,111
$
5,203,814
$
5,464,162
$
5,880,810
$
6,405,139
$
Plus: Interest Earnings
42,045
$
40,137
$
36,540
$
31,007
$
28,264
$
29,669
$
33,540
$
37,282
$
40,005
$
42,544
$
46,072
$
Less: Interest Allocated To Cash Flow
(42,045)
$
(40,137)
$
(36,540)
$
(31,007)
$
(28,264)
$
(29,669)
$
(33,540)
$
(37,282)
$
(40,005)
$
(42,544)
$
(46,072)
$
Balance At End Of Fiscal Year
5,396,499
$
5,306,811
$
4,437,297
$
3,831,182
$
3,705,913
$
4,205,953
$
4,738,111
$
5,203,814
$
5,464,162
$
5,880,810
$
6,405,139
$
(2) Per discussions with City Staff, a minimum reserve target of $1 Million has been targeted for the Water Stabilization Fund.
(3) Interest earned on Stabilization Fund balances will be retained in the Stabilization Funds as interpreted from the City's financial policies.
(1) Annual revenues reflect assumed contributions from the City's General Fund (assumptions provided by City Staff) and transfers in from the Water Enterprise operating fund in order to pay for future debt service. A transfer in from the General Fund of $2.2 million is included in FY
2021, allocated 68% to sewer and 32% to water based upon current Stabilization Fund allocation methodology. An additional $2 million of cash infusions from the City's General Fund is assumed for the remainder of the projection period, allocated 80% to sewer and 20% to water
based upon the future capital needs of the two systems and per discussions with City Staff.
City of Somerville | Water and Sewer Rate Study Report
Stantec | 34
Appendix B: Sewer Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules
City of Somerville| Water and Sewer Rate Study Report
Stantec | 35
APPENDIX B: SEWER FUND FINANCIAL SUSTAINABILITY
ANALYSIS SUPPORTING SCHEDULES
Schedule 1
Assumptions
Schedule 2
FY 2021 Beginning Balances as of 7/1/2020
Schedule 3
Projection of Cash Inflows
Schedule 4
Projection of Cash Outflows
Schedule 5
Cost Escalation Factors
Schedule 6
Capital Investment Plan (CIP)
Schedule 7
FAMS - Control Panel
Schedule 8
Pro Forma
Schedule 9
Funding Summary by Fund
Appendix B: Sewer Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules
Assumptions
Schedule 1
FY 2021
FY 2022
FY 2023
FY 2024
FY 2025
FY 2026
FY 2027
FY 2028
FY 2029
FY 2030
FY 2031
Rate Increase Adoption Date
7/1/2020
7/1/2021
7/1/2022
7/1/2023
7/1/2024
7/1/2025
7/1/2026
7/1/2027
7/1/2028
7/1/2029
7/1/2030
Annual Growth
Sewer System
Ending # of ERUs (1)
17,330
17,400
17,470
17,540
17,610
17,680
17,750
17,820
17,890
17,960
18,030
ERU Growth
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
% Change in ERUs
0.41%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.39%
0.39%
0.39%
0.39%
Billed Volume per ERU
114.21
115.42
115.43
115.44
115.44
115.45
115.45
115.46
115.47
115.47
115.48
% Change in Billed Volume per ERU (2)
-0.54%
1.06%
0.01%
0.01%
0.01%
0.01%
0.01%
0.01%
0.01%
0.01%
0.01%
Billed Volume (CCF) (3)
1,979,243
2,008,345
2,016,537
2,024,730
2,032,922
2,041,114
2,049,307
2,057,499
2,065,692
2,073,884
2,082,076
% Change in Billed Volume
-0.13%
1.47%
0.41%
0.41%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
Revenue Weighted % Change in Billed Volume (4)
-0.19%
1.59%
0.41%
0.41%
0.41%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
Capital Spending
Annual Capital Budget (Future Year Dollars)
10,040,000
$
29,040,000
$
34,832,500
$
56,895,000
$
71,177,500
$
71,860,000
$
47,650,000
$
37,960,000
$
31,880,000
$
40,240,000
$
31,010,000
$
Average Annual Interest Earnings Rate
On Fund Balances
0.75%
0.75%
0.75%
0.75%
0.75%
0.75%
0.75%
0.75%
0.75%
0.75%
0.75%
Operating Budget Execution Percentage (5)
Target (Number of Months of Reserve)
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
Operating Budget Execution Percentage
Personal Services
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
MWRA Assessment
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Fixed Operations and Maintenance
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Capital Outlay
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1) Equivalent residential units (ERUs) are a unit of measurement based upon a standard single-family residential home (5/8" meter) used to establish rates, fees and charges, and volume capacity limits.
(2) FY 2021 assumption of reduced volume per ERU driven by assumed reduction in commercial billed volumes due to continued COVID-19 impacts. The analysis reflects a normalizing adjustments in commercial billed volumes in FY 2022.
(3) A CCF stands for "centum cubic feet" and reflects 100 cubic feet of water, sometimes referred to as an HCF (hundred cubic feet). One CCF is equivalent to approximately 748 gallons.
(4) Considers the weighted impact of projected usage assumptions by customer class. For example, commercial customers do not have a conservation volume tier and therefore a reduction in billed volume per customer would hold a greater impact.
(5) Reflects reserve target of 30% of operating expenditures per discussions with City Staff.
City of Somerville| Water and Sewer Rate Study Report
Stantec | 36
Appendix B: Sewer Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules
FY 2021 Beginning Balances as of 7/1/2020 (1)
Schedule 2
Fund Number
6400
7400
7401
Stantec Grouping of Funds in Model
Enterprise Fund
Stabilization Fund
Infiltration & Inflow (2)
Current Unrestricted Assets
Cash and Cash Equivalents (3)
4,920,935
$
7,133,721
$
1,034,793
$
Receivables Net of Allowance for Uncollectibles
8,587,463
$
-
$
-
$
$
Total Assets
13,508,398
$
7,133,721
$
1,034,793
$
Current Liabilities
Warrants Payable
(2,961,096)
$
-
$
-
$
Accrued Payroll
(34,239)
$
-
$
-
$
Accrued Interest
(30,101)
$
-
$
-
$
Compensated Absences
(1,600)
$
-
$
-
$
Current Portion of Notes Payable (BAN)
(16,837,060)
$
-
$
-
$
Current Portion of Bonds Payable (MWRA)
(499,048)
$
-
$
-
$
Calculated Fund Balance (Assets - Liabilities)
(6,854,746)
$
7,133,721
$
1,034,793
$
Plus: Deferred Revenue
-
$
-
$
-
$
Plus: Current Portion of Notes Payable (4)
16,837,060
$
-
$
-
$
Plus: Current Portion of Bonds Payable (4)
499,048
$
-
$
-
$
Less: FY 2021 Liens Redeemed
(521,100)
$
-
$
-
$
Less: Reclass Sewer Capital Expense (5)
-
$
(3,355,377)
$
-
$
Net Unrestricted Fund Balance for Rate Setting
9,960,262
$
3,778,344
$
1,034,793
$
Available Fund Balance for Rate Setting
9,960,262
$
3,778,344
$
1,034,793
$
Fund Summary
Enterprise Fund
9,960,262
$
Stabilization Fund
3,778,344
$
Infiltration & Inflow
1,034,793
$
Total Available Funds for Rate Setting (6)
14,773,399
$
(6) Note that operating encumbrances and use of retained earnings have not been removed from beginning "available funds for rate setting" presented herein, but are accounted for elsewhere in the analysis.
(1) Figures as of 6/30/2020 presented herein are per the City's Audited FY 2020 Comprehensive Annual Financial Report (Audited Report) and detailed Audited Report workpapers provided by City Staff.
(2) Infiltration & Inflow (I/I) Fund balances as of 6/30/2020 is as provided by City Staff and is not derived per the City's FY 2020 Audited Report.
(3) Sub-fund apportionment of cash and cash equivalents derived per the City's detailed Audited Report workpapers (with exception for the existing I/I Fund Balance). Adjustments for the reclass of sewer capital
expenses are reported separately (refer to footnote 4).
(4) Current portion of notes payable and bonds payable is omitted from the available fund balance calculation as the debt service associated is reflected within the annual cash flows forecast.
(5) The City's detailed Aduited Report workpapers include a report journal entry (JE #47) to reclass water and sewer capital expenses, resulting in a $3.4 million reduction in available cash and cash equivalents
as of 6/30/2020.
City of Somerville| Water and Sewer Rate Study Report
Stantec | 37
Appendix B: Sewer Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules
Schedule 3
FY 2021
FY 2022
FY 2023
FY 2024
FY 2025
FY 2026
FY 2027
FY 2028
FY 2029
FY 2030
FY 2031
1
Rate Revenue Growth Assumptions
2
Sewer
3
% Change in ERUs (Base Revenue)
N/A
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.39%
0.39%
0.39%
0.39%
4
% Change in Billed Volume (Usage Revenue)
N/A
1.47%
0.41%
0.41%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
5
Assumed Rate Revenue Increases
6
Assumed Sewer Base Rate Increase
N/A
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
7
Assumed Sewer Usage Rate Increase
N/A
10.50%
10.50%
10.50%
10.50%
10.50%
10.50%
10.50%
9.00%
9.00%
9.00%
8
Sewer Rate Revenue (1)
9
Base Rate Revenue
1,821,045
$
1,873,927
$
1,881,465
$
1,889,004
$
1,896,543
$
1,904,082
$
1,911,621
$
1,919,160
$
1,926,698
$
1,934,237
$
1,941,776
$
10
Usage Rate Revenue
21,063,595
$
24,227,023
$
26,880,514
$
29,824,135
$
33,089,558
$
36,711,910
$
40,730,143
$
45,187,456
$
49,451,234
$
54,116,473
$
59,220,900
$
11
Total Sewer Rate Revenue (1)
22,884,640
$
26,100,950
$
28,761,979
$
31,713,139
$
34,986,102
$
38,615,992
$
42,641,764
$
47,106,616
$
51,377,932
$
56,050,710
$
61,162,676
$
12
Other Operating Revenue
13
Sewer Liens Redeemed (2)
521,100
$
1,201,444
$
607,120
$
669,017
$
737,662
$
813,793
$
898,225
$
991,867
$
1,095,721
$
1,195,074
$
1,303,765
$
14
Total Other Operating Revenue
521,100
$
1,201,444
$
607,120
$
669,017
$
737,662
$
813,793
$
898,225
$
991,867
$
1,095,721
$
1,195,074
$
1,303,765
$
15
Interest Income
16
Unrestricted (3)
63,134
$
47,956
$
42,989
$
45,983
$
55,049
$
62,219
$
66,175
$
68,400
$
67,110
$
62,621
$
61,785
$
17
Total Interest Income
63,134
$
47,956
$
42,989
$
45,983
$
55,049
$
62,219
$
66,175
$
68,400
$
67,110
$
62,621
$
61,785
$
18
Stabilization Fund Contributions to Debt Service (4)
1,128,414
$
1,125,418
$
1,600,246
$
3,318,203
$
1,628,943
$
1,622,609
$
1,622,585
$
1,622,585
$
1,622,585
$
1,622,585
$
1,622,585
$
19
I/I Fund Contributions to Debt Service (4)
-
$
-
$
-
$
51,608
$
1,017,546
$
219,553
$
207,573
$
207,528
$
207,528
$
207,528
$
207,528
$
20
Total Cash Inflows
24,597,289
$
28,475,767
$
31,012,334
$
35,797,950
$
38,425,302
$
41,334,165
$
45,436,322
$
49,996,995
$
54,370,877
$
59,138,518
$
64,358,340
$
(3) Calculated based upon assumed interest earnings percentage (refer to Schedule 1) that is applied to average annual projected fund balances (refer to Schedule 9).
Projection of Cash Inflows
(1) Note that in addition to the growth assumptions and rate increases presented herein, the rate revenue projection for FY 2022 also includes an adjustment to "normalize" the City's assumed level of bill collections. Starting in FY
2023, rate revenues are projected based upon a higher level of collected rate revenues; consequently, the sewer liens redeemed assumption is reduced going forward (refer to footnote 2 of this Schedule or refer to the Pro Forma on
Schedule 8).
(2) The City's sewer liens redeemed have averaged at approximately 2.3% of annual rate revenues over the past 3 years (FY 2018 - FY 2020). Per discussions with City Staff, the financial projection assumes that sewer liens are
collected within 1 year of their original bill date, with exception for FY 2020. Due to the impacts of COVID-19, the analysis assumes that uncollected sewer liens (in excess of 1 year) from FY 2020 will be recovered in FY 2022. The
financial projection assumes sewer liens redeemed at 2.3% of rate revenue in each year thereafter.
(4) Reflects contribution of available Sewer Stabilization Fund and I/I Fund balances to offset annual projected debt service. Additional information related to the Sewer Stabilization Fund and I/I Fund (including assumed
contributions from the General Fund) is presented on Schedule 9.
City of Somerville| Water and Sewer Rate Study Report
Stantec | 38
Appendix B: Sewer Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules
Projection of Cash Outflows
Schedule 4
Expense Line Item
Escalation Factor
FY 2021 (1)
FY 2022
FY 2023
FY 2024
FY 2025
FY 2026
FY 2027
FY 2028
FY 2029
FY 2030
FY 2031
1
640051 - SEWER PERSONAL SERVICE
2
SALARIES
Salaries & Wages
971,170
$
1,000,305
$
1,030,314
$
1,061,224
$
1,093,060
$
1,125,852
$
1,159,628
$
1,194,417
$
1,230,249
$
1,267,157
$
1,305,171
$
3
SALARY CONTINGENCY
Salaries & Wages
83,748
$
86,260
$
88,848
$
91,514
$
94,259
$
97,087
$
99,999
$
102,999
$
106,089
$
109,272
$
112,550
$
4
WAGES
Salaries & Wages
497,864
$
512,800
$
528,184
$
544,029
$
560,350
$
577,161
$
594,476
$
612,310
$
630,679
$
649,600
$
669,088
$
5
OVERTIME
Salaries & Wages
15,640
$
16,109
$
16,592
$
17,090
$
17,603
$
18,131
$
18,675
$
19,235
$
19,812
$
20,407
$
21,019
$
6
OVERTIME - LABOR
Salaries & Wages
55,000
$
56,650
$
58,350
$
60,100
$
61,903
$
63,760
$
65,673
$
67,643
$
69,672
$
71,763
$
73,915
$
7
LONGEVITY
Salaries & Wages
3,740
$
3,852
$
3,968
$
4,087
$
4,209
$
4,336
$
4,466
$
4,600
$
4,738
$
4,880
$
5,026
$
8
OUT OF GRADE-LABOR
Salaries & Wages
5,000
$
5,150
$
5,305
$
5,464
$
5,628
$
5,796
$
5,970
$
6,149
$
6,334
$
6,524
$
6,720
$
9
LONGEVITY-LABOR
Salaries & Wages
3,750
$
3,863
$
3,978
$
4,098
$
4,221
$
4,347
$
4,478
$
4,612
$
4,750
$
4,893
$
5,040
$
10
OTHER DIFFERENTIALS
Salaries & Wages
29,250
$
30,128
$
31,031
$
31,962
$
32,921
$
33,909
$
34,926
$
35,974
$
37,053
$
38,165
$
39,310
$
11
HOLDAYS NON-UNION
Salaries & Wages
2,808
$
2,892
$
2,979
$
3,068
$
3,160
$
3,255
$
3,353
$
3,453
$
3,557
$
3,664
$
3,774
$
12
UNIFORM ALLOWANCE
Salaries & Wages
5,145
$
5,299
$
5,458
$
5,622
$
5,791
$
5,964
$
6,143
$
6,328
$
6,518
$
6,713
$
6,914
$
13
OTHER LUMP SUM PAYMENTS
Salaries & Wages
3,368
$
3,469
$
3,573
$
3,680
$
3,791
$
3,904
$
4,022
$
4,142
$
4,266
$
4,394
$
4,526
$
14
STIPENDS-OTHER
Salaries & Wages
18,736
$
19,298
$
19,877
$
20,473
$
21,088
$
21,720
$
22,372
$
23,043
$
23,734
$
24,446
$
25,180
$
15
ADDITIONAL STAFFING - POPLAR PUMP STATION
Salaries & Wages
-
$
-
$
150,000
$
300,000
$
309,000
$
318,270
$
327,818
$
337,653
$
347,782
$
358,216
$
368,962
$
16
NEW IAM ENGINEERING STAFF
Salaries & Wages
-
$
63,201
$
65,097
$
67,050
$
69,061
$
71,133
$
73,267
$
75,465
$
77,729
$
80,061
$
82,463
$
17
NEW W&S OPS STAFF
Salaries & Wages
-
$
185,580
$
191,148
$
196,882
$
202,789
$
208,872
$
215,139
$
221,593
$
228,241
$
235,088
$
242,140
$
18
640052 - SEWER ORDINARY MAINTENANCE
19
REPAIRS-VEHICLES
Repair & Maintenance
40,000
$
41,000
$
42,025
$
43,076
$
44,153
$
45,256
$
46,388
$
47,547
$
48,736
$
49,955
$
51,203
$
20
REPAIRS-TOOLS & EQUIPMENT
Repair & Maintenance
500
$
513
$
525
$
538
$
552
$
566
$
580
$
594
$
609
$
624
$
640
$
21
RENTALS EQUIPMENT
O&M General
150,000
$
154,500
$
159,135
$
163,909
$
168,826
$
173,891
$
179,108
$
184,481
$
190,016
$
195,716
$
201,587
$
22
LEASE - PHOTOCPIER EQUIPMENT
O&M General
4,361
$
4,492
$
4,627
$
4,765
$
4,908
$
5,056
$
5,207
$
5,363
$
5,524
$
5,690
$
5,861
$
23
RUBBISH REMOVAL
Professional Services
25,000
$
25,750
$
26,523
$
27,318
$
28,138
$
28,982
$
29,851
$
30,747
$
31,669
$
32,619
$
33,598
$
24
DISPOSAL C BASIN SPOILS
Fuel, Utilities, Chemicals
300,000
$
400,000
$
420,000
$
441,000
$
463,050
$
486,203
$
510,513
$
536,038
$
562,840
$
590,982
$
620,531
$
25
PROFESSIONL & TECHNCL SVC
Professional Services
85,000
$
87,550
$
90,177
$
92,882
$
95,668
$
98,538
$
101,494
$
104,539
$
107,675
$
110,906
$
114,233
$
26
EMPLOYEE TRAINING COURSES
O&M General
2,500
$
2,575
$
2,652
$
2,732
$
2,814
$
2,898
$
2,985
$
3,075
$
3,167
$
3,262
$
3,360
$
27
ADVERTISING
O&M General
200
$
206
$
212
$
219
$
225
$
232
$
239
$
246
$
253
$
261
$
269
$
28
POLICE DETAIL
O&M General
145,000
$
149,350
$
153,831
$
158,445
$
163,199
$
168,095
$
173,138
$
178,332
$
183,682
$
189,192
$
194,868
$
29
BANK CHARGES
O&M General
2,000
$
2,060
$
2,122
$
2,185
$
2,251
$
2,319
$
2,388
$
2,460
$
2,534
$
2,610
$
2,688
$
30
SOFTWARE
O&M General
34,000
$
35,020
$
36,071
$
37,153
$
38,267
$
39,415
$
40,598
$
41,816
$
43,070
$
44,362
$
45,693
$
31
EXPRESS / FREIGHT
O&M General
1,000
$
1,030
$
1,061
$
1,093
$
1,126
$
1,159
$
1,194
$
1,230
$
1,267
$
1,305
$
1,344
$
32
OFFICE SUPPLIES
O&M General
500
$
515
$
530
$
546
$
563
$
580
$
597
$
615
$
633
$
652
$
672
$
33
PRINTING & STATIONERY
O&M General
58,480
$
60,234
$
62,041
$
63,903
$
65,820
$
67,794
$
69,828
$
71,923
$
74,081
$
76,303
$
78,592
$
34
COMPUTER EQUIPMENT NOT CAPITAL
O&M General
2,500
$
2,575
$
2,652
$
2,732
$
2,814
$
2,898
$
2,985
$
3,075
$
3,167
$
3,262
$
3,360
$
35
TELECOM EQUIPMENT
O&M General
80,000
$
82,400
$
84,872
$
87,418
$
90,041
$
92,742
$
95,524
$
98,390
$
101,342
$
104,382
$
107,513
$
36
TOOLS
O&M General
2,000
$
2,060
$
2,122
$
2,185
$
2,251
$
2,319
$
2,388
$
2,460
$
2,534
$
2,610
$
2,688
$
37
PAINT
O&M General
1,000
$
1,030
$
1,061
$
1,093
$
1,126
$
1,159
$
1,194
$
1,230
$
1,267
$
1,305
$
1,344
$
38
HARDWARE & SMALL TOOLS
O&M General
7,000
$
7,210
$
7,426
$
7,649
$
7,879
$
8,115
$
8,358
$
8,609
$
8,867
$
9,133
$
9,407
$
39
MOTOR GAS AND OIL
Fuel, Utilities, Chemicals
37,950
$
39,848
$
41,840
$
43,932
$
46,128
$
48,435
$
50,857
$
53,399
$
56,069
$
58,873
$
61,817
$
40
MOTOR PARTS & ACCESSORIES
O&M General
31,300
$
32,239
$
33,206
$
34,202
$
35,228
$
36,285
$
37,374
$
38,495
$
39,650
$
40,839
$
42,065
$
41
SIGNS AND CONES
O&M General
5,000
$
5,150
$
5,305
$
5,464
$
5,628
$
5,796
$
5,970
$
6,149
$
6,334
$
6,524
$
6,720
$
42
BITUMINOUS SUPPLIES
O&M General
30,688
$
31,609
$
32,557
$
33,534
$
34,540
$
35,576
$
36,643
$
37,742
$
38,875
$
40,041
$
41,242
$
43
READY MIX CONCRETE
O&M General
15,000
$
15,450
$
15,914
$
16,391
$
16,883
$
17,389
$
17,911
$
18,448
$
19,002
$
19,572
$
20,159
$
44
PIPE FITTINGS
O&M General
23,000
$
23,690
$
24,401
$
25,133
$
25,887
$
26,663
$
27,463
$
28,287
$
29,136
$
30,010
$
30,910
$
45
MASONRY SUPPLIES
O&M General
25,000
$
25,750
$
26,523
$
27,318
$
28,138
$
28,982
$
29,851
$
30,747
$
31,669
$
32,619
$
33,598
$
46
FOUNDRY PRODUCTS
O&M General
10,000
$
10,300
$
10,609
$
10,927
$
11,255
$
11,593
$
11,941
$
12,299
$
12,668
$
13,048
$
13,439
$
47
UNIFORMS
O&M General
3,000
$
3,090
$
3,183
$
3,278
$
3,377
$
3,478
$
3,582
$
3,690
$
3,800
$
3,914
$
4,032
$
48
REIMB OF LICENSES
O&M General
600
$
618
$
637
$
656
$
675
$
696
$
716
$
738
$
760
$
783
$
806
$
49
640058 - SEWER CAPITAL OUTLAY
50
VEHICLES
W&S Maintenance Series
100,000
$
104,399
$
108,992
$
113,786
$
118,792
$
124,018
$
129,473
$
135,169
$
141,115
$
147,323
$
153,804
$
51
SEWER CLEANING/REPAIRS (2)
W&S Maintenance Series
3,200,000
$
3,340,771
$
3,487,735
$
3,641,163
$
3,801,341
$
3,968,566
$
4,143,147
$
4,325,408
$
4,515,687
$
4,714,336
$
4,921,724
$
52
ENGINEERING / ARCHITECTURE
W&S Maintenance Series
1,960,000
$
2,046,222
$
2,136,237
$
2,230,213
$
2,328,322
$
2,430,747
$
2,537,678
$
2,649,312
$
2,765,858
$
2,887,531
$
3,014,556
$
53
EQUIPMENT
W&S Maintenance Series
500,000
$
521,995
$
544,959
$
568,932
$
593,960
$
620,088
$
647,367
$
675,845
$
705,576
$
736,615
$
769,019
$
54
WATER METER & PAR
W&S Maintenance Series
420,000
$
438,476
$
457,765
$
477,903
$
498,926
$
520,874
$
543,788
$
567,710
$
592,684
$
618,757
$
645,976
$
55
640060 - SEWER SPECIAL ITEMS
56
MWRA ASSESSMENT
MWRA Assessment
16,822,763
$
17,143,800
$
18,521,717
$
19,077,369
$
19,649,690
$
20,239,181
$
20,846,356
$
21,471,747
$
22,115,899
$
22,779,376
$
23,462,757
$
57
INDIRECT COST SUBSIDY
Indirect Cost Subsidy
732,980
$
754,969
$
777,618
$
800,947
$
824,975
$
849,725
$
875,216
$
901,473
$
928,517
$
956,373
$
985,064
$
58
Debt Service
59
Existing MWRA Notes
60
April 8 2019 MWRA SEWER
49,978
$
49,978
$
49,978
$
49,978
$
49,978
$
49,978
$
49,978
$
49,978
$
49,978
$
-
$
-
$
61
Existing Municipal Purpose
62
April 1 2010- Sewer
43,600
$
42,000
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
63
December 7 2017- Cur Ref Aug 15 06- Sewer Construction 1
78,384
$
72,942
$
63,500
$
61,300
$
68,900
$
36,900
$
30,600
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
64
December 7 2017- Cur Ref Aug 15 06- Sewer Construction 2
48,448
$
41,948
$
40,548
$
35,424
$
33,000
$
31,800
$
30,600
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
65
June 7 2018 Series B- Nunziation Field Stormwater Project
62,400
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
66
June 7 2018 Series B- Cedar St Sewer Repairs
26,556
$
26,156
$
30,756
$
30,306
$
29,706
$
29,106
$
28,506
$
27,906
$
27,306
$
26,706
$
26,106
$
67
June 6 2019 - CEDAR ST SEWER REPAIRS
138,150
$
140,650
$
137,900
$
140,150
$
137,150
$
139,150
$
140,900
$
137,400
$
138,900
$
140,900
$
137,700
$
68
June 6 2019 - NUNZIATIO FIELD STORMWATER PROJ
88,250
$
89,250
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
69
June 6 2019 - SEWER MAIN REHAB & REPLACEMENT
82,850
$
81,350
$
84,850
$
83,100
$
81,350
$
84,600
$
82,600
$
85,600
$
83,350
$
81,550
$
84,750
$
City of Somerville| Water and Sewer Rate Study Report
Stantec | 39
Appendix B: Sewer Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules
Projection of Cash Outflows
Schedule 4
Expense Line Item
Escalation Factor
FY 2021 (1)
FY 2022
FY 2023
FY 2024
FY 2025
FY 2026
FY 2027
FY 2028
FY 2029
FY 2030
FY 2031
70
June 4 2020 - Cedar St Sewer Repairs
111,728
$
110,731
$
113,231
$
110,481
$
112,731
$
109,731
$
111,731
$
113,481
$
109,981
$
111,481
$
112,731
$
71
June 4 2020 - Sewer Main Rehabiliation & Replacement
56,157
$
55,169
$
53,919
$
57,669
$
56,169
$
54,669
$
53,169
$
56,669
$
54,919
$
53,169
$
56,419
$
72
Future Long-Term Projects
73
Manhole Sealing
-
$
-
$
56,376
$
56,376
$
56,376
$
56,376
$
56,376
$
56,376
$
56,376
$
56,376
$
56,376
$
74
Sewer Clear Vehicle
-
$
49,431
$
49,431
$
49,431
$
49,431
$
49,431
$
49,431
$
49,431
$
49,431
$
49,431
$
49,431
$
75
BAN Projects & Associated Long-Term Debt Service (3)
76
Unspecified FY 2021 (per Budget)
330,664
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
77
Somerville Ave. Utility & Streetscape Improvements - Sewer
-
$
295,612
$
383,530
$
383,530
$
398,870
$
426,145
$
272,745
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
78
Long-Term
-
$
-
$
-
$
818,917
$
818,917
$
823,685
$
1,216,462
$
1,914,819
$
1,914,819
$
1,914,819
$
1,914,819
$
79
Poplar St. Stormwater Pump Station (4)
-
$
13,263
$
47,250
$
128,906
$
337,329
$
491,052
$
491,052
$
491,052
$
391,250
$
117,250
$
-
$
80
Long-Term
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
130,897
$
130,897
$
130,897
$
130,897
$
369,385
$
1,108,517
$
1,424,806
$
81
Spring Hill Sewer Separation: Project Area 1- Sewer (4)
-
$
21,087
$
107,282
$
162,149
$
233,216
$
258,107
$
258,107
$
157,000
$
68,750
$
-
$
-
$
82
Long-Term
-
$
-
$
-
$
101,159
$
101,159
$
101,159
$
101,159
$
342,767
$
580,827
$
766,284
$
766,284
$
83
Nunziato Stormwater Storage (4)
-
$
-
$
-
$
190,125
$
337,050
$
415,250
$
415,250
$
415,250
$
204,000
$
40,750
$
-
$
84
Long-Term
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
569,860
$
1,010,237
$
1,120,163
$
85
Sewer Improvements (5)
-
$
-
$
48,884
$
185,850
$
193,500
$
201,375
$
232,750
$
242,250
$
252,000
$
262,000
$
272,000
$
86
Long-Term
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
243,053
$
503,041
$
781,897
$
1,071,552
$
1,373,276
$
1,687,069
$
2,013,566
$
87
Somerville Marginal Interceptor Rehabilitation
-
$
18,851
$
49,926
$
55,473
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
88
Long-Term
-
$
4,850
$
82,554
$
82,554
$
215,719
$
215,719
$
215,719
$
215,719
$
215,719
$
215,719
$
215,719
$
89
SSES & I/I Assessment
-
$
900
$
36,000
$
74,925
$
79,425
$
55,750
$
31,000
$
32,250
$
33,500
$
34,750
$
36,250
$
90
Long-Term
-
$
-
$
89,740
$
189,786
$
395,871
$
543,211
$
689,165
$
768,431
$
850,195
$
935,707
$
978,901
$
91
Willow to Grove Sewer Replacement
-
$
-
$
4,950
$
21,450
$
49,350
$
32,850
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
92
Long-Term
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
13,586
$
98,069
$
190,809
$
190,809
$
190,809
$
190,809
$
190,809
$
93
Flint St. Sewer Replacement
-
$
-
$
4,950
$
42,750
$
78,750
$
40,950
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
94
Long-Term
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
13,586
$
120,301
$
235,909
$
235,909
$
235,909
$
235,909
$
235,909
$
95
Sewer Separation Project 1
-
$
-
$
-
$
57,825
$
271,125
$
708,800
$
991,000
$
495,500
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
96
Long-Term
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
163,248
$
765,425
$
2,024,407
$
3,283,389
$
3,283,389
$
3,283,389
$
97
Sewer Separation Project 2
-
$
-
$
-
$
57,825
$
271,125
$
708,800
$
991,000
$
495,500
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
98
Long-Term
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
163,248
$
765,425
$
2,024,407
$
3,283,389
$
3,283,389
$
3,283,389
$
99
Sewer Separation Project 3 (6)
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
62,544
$
293,249
$
766,638
$
1,071,866
$
535,933
$
-
$
100
Long-Term
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
176,569
$
827,884
$
2,189,599
$
3,551,314
$
101
Sewer Separation Project 4
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
72,197
$
332,322
$
1,380,122
$
1,119,997
$
102
Long-Term
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
183,440
$
844,374
$
103
Sewer Separation Project 5
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
72,197
$
332,322
$
104
Sewer Separation Project 6 (7)
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
105
Spring Hill Sewer Separation: Highland Avenue - Sewer
-
$
-
$
3,150
$
8,775
$
112,725
$
157,125
$
157,750
$
154,250
$
148,000
$
32,500
$
-
$
106
Long-Term
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
9,441
$
26,301
$
337,869
$
425,540
$
107
Spring Hill Sewer Separation: Project Area 2B- Sewer (8)
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
5,250
$
66,000
$
155,000
$
155,000
$
155,000
$
149,750
$
108
Long-Term
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
14,162
$
109
Boynton Yards - Pump Station (9)
-
$
-
$
-
$
10,800
$
32,400
$
241,313
$
476,250
$
684,375
$
672,375
$
648,375
$
416,250
$
110
Long-Term
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
32,371
$
97,112
$
723,284
$
111
Boynton Yards - Infrastructure (9)
-
$
-
$
-
$
7,256
$
21,769
$
160,650
$
316,875
$
455,250
$
447,188
$
431,063
$
276,750
$
112
Long-Term
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
21,749
$
65,240
$
481,508
$
113
Clarendon Hill
-
$
-
$
24,750
$
78,750
$
110,250
$
113,000
$
119,000
$
95,000
$
35,000
$
-
$
-
$
114
Long-Term
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
74,183
$
236,037
$
330,452
$
330,452
$
115
New Washington Street Sewer Realignment (10)
11,250
$
11,250
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
116
Long-Term
-
$
-
$
36,791
$
36,791
$
36,791
$
36,791
$
36,791
$
36,791
$
36,791
$
36,791
$
36,791
$
117
Total Debt Service
1,128,414
$
1,125,418
$
1,600,246
$
3,369,811
$
5,171,253
$
7,620,070
$
10,875,576
$
14,505,054
$
18,430,200
$
22,101,903
$
24,962,009
$
118
Total Expenses by Category
119
Personal Services
1,695,219
$
1,994,857
$
2,204,703
$
2,416,344
$
2,488,834
$
2,563,499
$
2,640,404
$
2,719,616
$
2,801,205
$
2,885,241
$
2,971,798
$
120
MWRA Assessment
16,822,763
$
17,143,800
$
18,521,717
$
19,077,369
$
19,649,690
$
20,239,181
$
20,846,356
$
21,471,747
$
22,115,899
$
22,779,376
$
23,462,757
$
121
Operations & Maintenance
1,855,559
$
2,002,782
$
2,071,455
$
2,142,623
$
2,216,382
$
2,292,834
$
2,372,082
$
2,454,237
$
2,539,412
$
2,627,726
$
2,719,302
$
122
Capital Outlay
6,180,000
$
6,451,864
$
6,735,687
$
7,031,997
$
7,341,341
$
7,664,293
$
8,001,453
$
8,353,444
$
8,720,920
$
9,104,561
$
9,505,079
$
123
Debt Service
1,128,414
$
1,125,418
$
1,600,246
$
3,369,811
$
5,171,253
$
7,620,070
$
10,875,576
$
14,505,054
$
18,430,200
$
22,101,903
$
24,962,009
$
124
Total Expenses
27,681,955
$
28,718,721
$
31,133,808
$
34,038,143
$
36,867,500
$
40,379,876
$
44,735,872
$
49,504,098
$
54,607,636
$
59,498,808
$
63,620,946
$
City of Somerville| Water and Sewer Rate Study Report
Stantec | 40
Appendix B: Sewer Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules
Projection of Cash Outflows
Schedule 4
Expense Line Item
Escalation Factor
FY 2021 (1)
FY 2022
FY 2023
FY 2024
FY 2025
FY 2026
FY 2027
FY 2028
FY 2029
FY 2030
FY 2031
125
Expense Execution Factors
126
Personal Services
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
127
MWRA Assessment
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
128
Operations & Maintenance
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
129
Capital Outlay
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
131
Debt Service
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
132
Expenses at Execution
133
Personal Services
1,695,219
$
1,994,857
$
2,204,703
$
2,416,344
$
2,488,834
$
2,563,499
$
2,640,404
$
2,719,616
$
2,801,205
$
2,885,241
$
2,971,798
$
134
MWRA Assessment
16,822,763
$
17,143,800
$
18,521,717
$
19,077,369
$
19,649,690
$
20,239,181
$
20,846,356
$
21,471,747
$
22,115,899
$
22,779,376
$
23,462,757
$
135
Operations & Maintenance
1,855,559
$
2,002,782
$
2,071,455
$
2,142,623
$
2,216,382
$
2,292,834
$
2,372,082
$
2,454,237
$
2,539,412
$
2,627,726
$
2,719,302
$
136
Capital Outlay
6,180,000
$
6,451,864
$
6,735,687
$
7,031,997
$
7,341,341
$
7,664,293
$
8,001,453
$
8,353,444
$
8,720,920
$
9,104,561
$
9,505,079
$
138
Debt Service
1,128,414
$
1,125,418
$
1,600,246
$
3,369,811
$
5,171,253
$
7,620,070
$
10,875,576
$
14,505,054
$
18,430,200
$
22,101,903
$
24,962,009
$
139
Total Expenses
27,681,955
$
28,718,721
$
31,133,808
$
34,038,143
$
36,867,500
$
40,379,876
$
44,735,872
$
49,504,098
$
54,607,636
$
59,498,808
$
63,620,946
$
140
Projects Designated To Be Funded with Cash (11)
-
$
720,000
$
240,000
$
600,000
$
300,000
$
300,000
$
300,000
$
300,000
$
300,000
$
300,000
$
300,000
$
141
Total Cash Outflows
27,681,955
$
29,438,721
$
31,373,808
$
34,638,143
$
37,167,500
$
40,679,876
$
45,035,872
$
49,804,098
$
54,907,636
$
59,798,808
$
63,920,946
$
(1) FY 2021 operating expenses reflect the City's FY 2021 Revised Budget, after which all future operating costs escalate based upon assumed escalation factors presented in Schedule 5.
(2) Sewer cleaning/repairs original budget of $2.04 million was adjusted to $3.2 million per discussions with City Staff to account for emergency system repairs identified by the City.
(3) Reflects the City's projected Bond Anticipation Note (BAN) annual interest payments (ranging from 2-5 years per project), as well as the associated long-term debt service payments for each project.
(4) Per discussions with City Staff, approximately 80% of project amounts may be funded by FEMA grant contributions. However, for purposes of this analysis, the entire debt service schedule for these projects has been considered.
(5) Projected debt schedules pushed out one year to FY 2023 per discussions with City Staff.
(7) Due to assumption that Sewer Separation Projects are pushed out and start every 2 years, Sewer Separation Project 6 does not occur within the projection period presented herein.
(8) Projected debt schedules moved forward one year to FY 2026 per discussions with City Staff.
(9) Per discussions with City Staff, approximately 25% of the project amount will be developer funded. As such, only 75% of the debt service schedule originally provided by staff is considered in this analysis. Furthermore, the projected debt schedules have been pushed out one year to start in FY 2024.
(11) Reflects cash funding of vehicles and Yard 3 CIP, as directed by City Staff.
(6) Per discussions with City Staff, Sewer Separation Project 3 was assumed to be pushed out 2 years to FY 2026, after which point the remaining Separation Projects are assumed to start every 2 years thereafter. For all projects that were pushed out over the projection, the original debt service amounts were assumed to
increase by 4% to account for an assumed 4% annual inflationary increase in capital costs.
(10) The New Washington Street Sewer Realignment project and associated debt service was added to CIP per the request of staff on 4/15/2021. The project assumes a spending schedule of $500k over 3 years, with an assumed 2 year BAN (2.3% assumed interest rate) that is followed by long-term debt service (20 years
at 4.0% assumed interest rate).
City of Somerville| Water and Sewer Rate Study Report
Stantec | 41
Appendix B: Sewer Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules
Cost Escalation Factors
Schedule 5
Inflation Factor
FY 2022
FY 2023
FY 2024
FY 2025
FY 2026
FY 2027
FY 2028
FY 2029
FY 2030
FY 2031
Salaries & Wages
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
Repair & Maintenance
2.50%
2.50%
2.50%
2.50%
2.50%
2.50%
2.50%
2.50%
2.50%
2.50%
Fuel, Utilities, Chemicals
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
Professional Services
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
O&M General
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
Indirect Cost Subsidy
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
MWRA Assessment (1)
1.91%
8.04%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
W&S Maintenance Series - 10 Year
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
Default Inflation Factor
1.50%
1.50%
1.50%
1.50%
1.50%
1.50%
1.50%
1.50%
1.50%
1.50%
(1) Annual MWRA Assessment cost escalation factor in FY 2022 reflects resulting factor based upon preliminary MWRA estimates. The FY 2023 escalation factor reflects an estimated assessment increase
provided by City Staff. MWRA Assessments in FY 2024 through the remainder of the projection are projected to increase at 3.00% annually based upon a 5 year history of the assessment change.
City of Somerville| Water and Sewer Rate Study Report
Stantec | 42
Appendix B: Sewer Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules
Capital Investment Plan (CIP)
Schedule 6
Project Description
FY 2021
FY 2022
FY 2023
FY 2024
FY 2025
FY 2026
FY 2027
FY 2028
FY 2029
FY 2030
FY 2031
Total Cost
Debt Funded Projects (1)
1
Somerville Ave. Utility & Streetscape Improvements - Sewer
$ 7,320,000 $ 12,060,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 19,380,000
2
Poplar St. Stormwater Pump Station (2)
$ 510,000 $ 830,000 $ 4,840,000 $ 10,960,000 $ 4,690,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 21,830,000
3
Spring Hill Sewer Separation: Project Area 1- Sewer (2)
$ 840,000 $ 3,240,000 $ 3,530,000 $ 2,750,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 10,360,000
4
Nunziato Stormwater Storage (2)
$ - $ - $ 8,450,000 $ 6,530,000 $ 1,630,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 16,610,000
5
Sewer Improvements (3)
$ - $ 4,050,000 $ 4,210,000 $ 4,390,000 $ 4,560,000 $ 4,750,000 $ 4,940,000 $ 5,140,000 $ 5,340,000 $ 5,540,000 $ 5,740,000 $ 48,660,000
6
Manhole Sealing
$ 830,000 $ 460,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 1,290,000
7
Somerville Marginal Interceptor Rehabilitation
$ 160,000 $ 4,450,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 4,610,000
8
SSES & I/I Assessment
$ 60,000 $ 1,600,000 $ 1,730,000 $ 1,800,000 $ 610,000 $ 630,000 $ 660,000 $ 680,000 $ 710,000 $ 740,000 $ 740,000 $ 9,960,000
9
Willow to Grove Sewer Replacement
$ - $ 220,000 $ 1,330,000 $ 1,460,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 3,010,000
10
Flint St. Sewer Replacement
$ - $ 220,000 $ 1,680,000 $ 1,820,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 3,720,000
11
Sewer Separation Project 1
$ - $ - $ 2,570,000 $ 9,480,000 $ 19,820,000 $ 19,820,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 51,690,000
12
Sewer Separation Project 2
$ - $ - $ 2,570,000 $ 9,480,000 $ 19,820,000 $ 19,820,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 51,690,000
13
Sewer Separation Project 3 (4)
$ - $ - $ - $ - $ 2,780,000 $ 10,250,000 $ 21,440,000 $ 21,440,000 $ - $ - $ - $ 55,910,000
14
Sewer Separation Project 4 (4)
$ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 2,890,000 $ 10,400,000 $ 22,410,000 $ 22,410,000 $ - $ 58,110,000
15
Sewer Separation Project 5 (4)
$ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 3,120,000 $ 11,250,000 $ 24,230,000 $ 38,600,000
16
Sewer Separation Project 6 (4) (5)
$ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ -
17
Spring Hill Sewer Separation: Highland Avenue - Sewer
$ - $ 140,000 $ 250,000 $ 4,620,000 $ 1,300,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 6,310,000
18
Spring Hill Sewer Separation: Project Area 2B- Sewer (6)
$ - $ - $ - $ - $ 210,000 $ 2,430,000 $ 3,560,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 6,200,000
19
Boynton Yards - Pump Station (7)
$ - $ - $ 480,000 $ 960,000 $ 9,285,000 $ 8,325,000 $ 8,325,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 27,375,000
20
Boynton Yards - Infrastructure (7)
$ - $ - $ 322,500 $ 645,000 $ 6,172,500 $ 5,535,000 $ 5,535,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 18,210,000
21
Clarendon Hill
$ 300,000 $ 800,000 $ 2,400,000 $ 1,400,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 4,900,000
22
New Washington Street Sewer Realignment (8)
$ 20,000 $ 250,000 $ 230,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 500,000
23
Cash Funded Projects
24
Sewer Vehicles (9)
$ - $ 520,000 $ 40,000 $ 400,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 $ 1,660,000
25
Yard 3 Annual PAYGO
$ - $ 200,000 $ 200,000 $ 200,000 $ 200,000 $ 200,000 $ 200,000 $ 200,000 $ 200,000 $ 200,000 $ 200,000 $ 2,000,000
26
Total CIP Budget (in Future Dollars) (10)
$ 10,040,000 $ 29,040,000 $ 34,832,500 $ 56,895,000 $ 71,177,500 $ 71,860,000 $ 47,650,000 $ 37,960,000 $ 31,880,000 $ 40,240,000 $ 31,010,000 $ 462,585,000
27
Cumulative Projected Cost Escalation (10)
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
28
Resulting CIP Funding Level
$ 10,040,000 $ 29,040,000 $ 34,832,500 $ 56,895,000 $ 71,177,500 $ 71,860,000 $ 47,650,000 $ 37,960,000 $ 31,880,000 $ 40,240,000 $ 31,010,000 $ 462,585,000
(1) Project amounts and timing presented herein reflects adjustments made during meetings with City Staff. FY 2031 project values were calculated based upon debt service schedules provided by City Staff.
(2) Per discussions with City Staff, approximately 80% of project amounts may be funded by FEMA grant contributions. However, for purposes of this analysis, the entire debt service schedule for these projects has been considered.
(3) Project and associated debt schedules pushed out one year to FY 2023 per discussions with City Staff.
(4) Per discussions with City Staff, Sewer Separation Project 3 was assumed to be pushed out 2 years (first year of debt service in FY 2026), after which point the remaining Separation Projects are assumed to start every 2 years thereafter.
(5) Due to assumption that Sewer Separation Projects are pushed out and start every 2 years, Sewer Separation Project 6 does not occur within the projection period presented herein.
(6) Project and associated debt schedules moved forward one year to FY 2026 per discussions with City Staff.
(8) The New Washington Street Sewer Realignment project and associated debt service was added to CIP per the request of staff on 4/15/2021.
(9) Projected vehicle costs of $400,000 in FY 2024 reflects assumption of additional vac truck per discussion with City Staff.
(10) CIP already includes inflationary assumptions as provided by City Staff.
(7) Project values displayed for Boynton Yards are net of assumed 25% developer funding based upon discussions with City Staff. As such, only 75% of the debt service schedule originally provided by staff is considered in this analysis. Furthermore, the project
and debt schedules have been pushed out one year to start in FY 2024.
City of Somerville| Water and Sewer Rate Study Report
Stantec | 43
Appendix B: Sewer Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules
FAMS - Control Panel
Schedule 7
SEWER ENTERPRISE FUND
FY 2021
FY 2022
FY 2023
FY 2024
FY 2025
FY 2026
FY 2027
FY 2028
FY 2029
FY 2030
FY 2031
FY 2026
FY 2031
Sewer Usage Rate Plan
0.00%
10.50%
10.50%
10.50%
10.50%
10.50%
10.50%
10.50%
9.00%
9.00%
9.00%
64.79%
160.78%
Debt Service Coverage (1.25 Target)
2.74
5.52
4.13
2.61
2.21
1.89
1.63
1.48
1.36
1.31
1.34
Scenario Manager
Debt Service / Revenue
4.8%
4.1%
5.4%
10.4%
14.5%
19.3%
25.0%
30.2%
35.1%
38.6%
40.0%
Growth
Normal
Tri-Annual Single-Family Bill @ 18 CCF
$204.79
$222.11
$241.25
$262.36
$285.70
$311.50
$340.04
$371.58
$401.48
$434.02
$469.48
Check
-
Combined Tri-Annual W&S Single-Family Bill
$315.49
$339.13
$367.97
$399.70
$434.76
$473.51
$511.98
$551.07
$588.93
$629.84
$674.08
Annual W&S Bill as % of MHI
1.0%
1.0%
1.1%
1.2%
1.3%
1.5%
1.6%
1.7%
1.8%
1.9%
2.1%
Net Cash Flow ($ M)
-$3.08
-$0.96
-$0.36
$1.16
$1.26
$0.65
$0.40
$0.19
-$0.54
-$0.66
$0.44
$0.0M
$20.0M
$40.0M
$60.0M
$80.0M
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Operating/Cash
Debt
$0.0M
$2.0M
$4.0M
$6.0M
$8.0M
$10.0M
$12.0M
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Current Plan
Target
$0.0M
$20.0M
$40.0M
$60.0M
$80.0M
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Current Plan
$0.0M
$10.0M
$20.0M
$30.0M
$40.0M
$50.0M
$60.0M
$70.0M
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
O&M
Cash In
Cash Out
$0.0M
$20.0M
$40.0M
$60.0M
$80.0M
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Current Plan
Operating Fund
CIP Spending
Revenues vs. Expenses
CIP Funding
Borrowing
CALC
SAVE
CTRL
LAST
OVR
$0.0M
$1.0M
$2.0M
$3.0M
$4.0M
$5.0M
$6.0M
$7.0M
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
I/I Fund
Stabilization Fund
Target
Stabilization Fund & I/I Fund
City of Somerville| Water and Sewer Rate Study Report
Stantec | 44
Appendix B: Sewer Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules
Pro Forma
Schedule 8
FY 2021
FY 2022
FY 2023
FY 2024
FY 2025
FY 2026
FY 2027
FY 2028
FY 2029
FY 2030
FY 2031
1
Operating Revenue
2
Sewer Rate Revenue
22,884,640
$
22,884,640
$
26,100,950
$
28,761,979
$
31,713,139
$
34,986,102
$
38,615,992
$
42,641,764
$
47,106,616
$
51,377,932
$
56,050,710
$
3
Change in Revenue From Growth
-
$
342,078
$
106,773
$
117,192
$
128,706
$
141,428
$
155,487
$
171,021
$
188,187
$
204,445
$
222,167
$
4
Other Revenue Adjustments
-
572,116
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
5
Subtotal
22,884,640
$
23,798,834
$
26,207,722
$
28,879,171
$
31,841,845
$
35,127,530
$
38,771,479
$
42,812,785
$
47,294,803
$
51,582,378
$
56,272,877
$
6
Weighted Average Rate Increase
0.00%
9.67%
9.75%
9.81%
9.87%
9.93%
9.98%
10.03%
8.63%
8.66%
8.69%
7
Additional Rate Revenue From Rate Increase
-
$
2,302,115
$
2,554,257
$
2,833,968
$
3,144,257
$
3,488,462
$
3,870,285
$
4,293,831
$
4,083,129
$
4,468,333
$
4,889,799
$
8
Total Rate Revenue
22,884,640
$
26,100,950
$
28,761,979
$
31,713,139
$
34,986,102
$
38,615,992
$
42,641,764
$
47,106,616
$
51,377,932
$
56,050,710
$
61,162,676
$
9
Plus: Other Operating Revenue
521,100
$
1,201,444
$
607,120
$
669,017
$
737,662
$
813,793
$
898,225
$
991,867
$
1,095,721
$
1,195,074
$
1,303,765
$
10
Equals: Total Operating Revenue
23,405,740
$
27,302,393
$
29,369,099
$
32,382,156
$
35,723,763
$
39,429,785
$
43,539,989
$
48,098,483
$
52,473,653
$
57,245,784
$
62,466,441
$
11
Less: Operating Expenses
12
Personal Services
(1,695,219)
$
(1,994,857)
$
(2,204,703)
$
(2,416,344)
$
(2,488,834)
$
(2,563,499)
$
(2,640,404)
$
(2,719,616)
$
(2,801,205)
$
(2,885,241)
$
(2,971,798)
$
13
MWRA Assessment
(16,822,763)
$
(17,143,800)
$
(18,521,717)
$
(19,077,369)
$
(19,649,690)
$
(20,239,181)
$
(20,846,356)
$
(21,471,747)
$
(22,115,899)
$
(22,779,376)
$
(23,462,757)
$
14
Operations & Maintenance Costs
(1,855,559)
$
(2,002,782)
$
(2,071,455)
$
(2,142,623)
$
(2,216,382)
$
(2,292,834)
$
(2,372,082)
$
(2,454,237)
$
(2,539,412)
$
(2,627,726)
$
(2,719,302)
$
15
Equals: Net Operating Income
3,032,199
$
6,160,954
$
6,571,224
$
8,745,820
$
11,368,857
$
14,334,271
$
17,681,147
$
21,452,882
$
25,017,137
$
28,953,441
$
33,312,583
$
16
Plus: Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
17
Interest Income
63,134
$
47,956
$
42,989
$
45,983
$
55,049
$
62,219
$
66,175
$
68,400
$
67,110
$
62,621
$
61,785
$
18
Stabilization Fund Contributions to Debt Service
1,128,414
$
1,125,418
$
1,600,246
$
3,318,203
$
1,628,943
$
1,622,609
$
1,622,585
$
1,622,585
$
1,622,585
$
1,622,585
$
1,622,585
$
19
I/I Fund Contributions to Debt Service
-
$
-
$
-
$
51,608
$
1,017,546
$
219,553
$
207,573
$
207,528
$
207,528
$
207,528
$
207,528
$
20
Equals: Net Income
4,223,748
$
7,334,328
$
8,214,459
$
12,161,614
$
14,070,396
$
16,238,652
$
19,577,480
$
23,351,395
$
26,914,360
$
30,846,175
$
35,204,482
$
21
Less: Revenues Excluded From Coverage Test
22
Stabilization Fund Contributions to Debt Service
(1,128,414)
$
(1,125,418)
$
(1,600,246)
$
(3,318,203)
$
(1,628,943)
$
(1,622,609)
$
(1,622,585)
$
(1,622,585)
$
(1,622,585)
$
(1,622,585)
$
(1,622,585)
$
23
I/I Fund Contributions to Debt Service
-
$
-
$
-
$
(51,608)
$
(1,017,546)
$
(219,553)
$
(207,573)
$
(207,528)
$
(207,528)
$
(207,528)
$
(207,528)
$
24
Equals: Net Income Available For Debt Service
3,095,334
$
6,208,910
$
6,614,213
$
8,791,803
$
11,423,906
$
14,396,490
$
17,747,322
$
21,521,282
$
25,084,247
$
29,016,062
$
33,374,369
$
25
Total All-In Debt Service Coverage Test
26
Net Income Available for Subordinate Debt Service
3,095,334
$
6,208,910
$
6,614,213
$
8,791,803
$
11,423,906
$
14,396,490
$
17,747,322
$
21,521,282
$
25,084,247
$
29,016,062
$
33,374,369
$
27
Total Short-Term Debt Service (BAN)
341,914
$
360,963
$
710,672
$
1,466,389
$
2,526,884
$
4,078,960
$
5,112,028
$
4,711,512
$
3,811,250
$
3,709,939
$
2,603,318
$
28
Total Long-Term Debt Service
786,501
$
764,455
$
889,574
$
1,903,422
$
2,644,370
$
3,541,110
$
5,763,549
$
9,793,542
$
14,618,950
$
18,391,965
$
22,358,690
$
29
Total Annual Debt Service
Targ.
1,128,414
$
1,125,418
$
1,600,246
$
3,369,811
$
5,171,253
$
7,620,070
$
10,875,576
$
14,505,054
$
18,430,200
$
22,101,903
$
24,962,009
$
30
Calculated All-In Debt Service Coverage
1.25
2.74
5.52
4.13
2.61
2.21
1.89
1.63
1.48
1.36
1.31
1.34
31
Cash Flow Test
32
Net Income Available For Debt Service
3,095,334
$
6,208,910
$
6,614,213
$
8,791,803
$
11,423,906
$
14,396,490
$
17,747,322
$
21,521,282
$
25,084,247
$
29,016,062
$
33,374,369
$
33
Less: Non-Operating Expenditures
34
Net Debt Service Payment (Net of Stabilization & I/I Fund Contributions)
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
(2,524,764)
$
(5,777,909)
$
(9,045,418)
$
(12,674,940)
$
(16,600,087)
$
(20,271,790)
$
(23,131,896)
$
35
Capital Outlay
(6,180,000)
$
(6,451,864)
$
(6,735,687)
$
(7,031,997)
$
(7,341,341)
$
(7,664,293)
$
(8,001,453)
$
(8,353,444)
$
(8,720,920)
$
(9,104,561)
$
(9,505,079)
$
36
Cash Flow Surplus/(Deficit)
(3,084,666)
$
(242,954)
$
(121,474)
$
1,759,806
$
1,557,801
$
954,289
$
700,451
$
492,898
$
(236,759)
$
(360,289)
$
737,394
$
37
Unrestricted Reserve Fund Test
38
Balance At Beginning Of Fiscal Year
9,960,262
$
6,875,596
$
5,912,641
$
5,551,167
$
6,710,974
$
7,968,775
$
8,623,064
$
9,023,514
$
9,216,412
$
8,679,653
$
8,019,363
$
39
Cash Flow Surplus/(Deficit)
(3,084,666)
$
(242,954)
$
(121,474)
$
1,759,806
$
1,557,801
$
954,289
$
700,451
$
492,898
$
(236,759)
$
(360,289)
$
737,394
$
40
Projects Designated To Be Paid With Cash
-
$
(720,000)
$
(240,000)
$
(600,000)
$
(300,000)
$
(300,000)
$
(300,000)
$
(300,000)
$
(300,000)
$
(300,000)
$
(300,000)
$
41
Balance At End Of Fiscal Year
6,875,596
$
5,912,641
$
5,551,167
$
6,710,974
$
7,968,775
$
8,623,064
$
9,023,514
$
9,216,412
$
8,679,653
$
8,019,363
$
8,456,757
$
42
Minimum Working Capital Reserve Target
6,112,062
$
6,342,432
$
6,839,363
$
7,090,901
$
7,306,472
$
7,528,654
$
7,757,653
$
7,993,680
$
8,236,955
$
8,487,703
$
8,746,157
$
43
Excess/(Deficiency) Of Working Capital To Target
763,533
$
(429,790)
$
(1,288,195)
$
(379,927)
$
662,303
$
1,094,410
$
1,265,862
$
1,222,732
$
442,698
$
(468,340)
$
(289,401)
$
(1) Assumption of higher rate revenue collections starting in FY 2022, which serves as basis for future rate revenue projections. Sewer liens redeemed (within other operating revenue) are projected at 2.30% of rate revenues starting after FY 2022.
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Appendix B: Sewer Fund Financial Sustainability Analysis Supporting Schedules
Funding Summary by Fund
Schedule 9
FY 2021
FY 2022
FY 2023
FY 2024
FY 2025
FY 2026
FY 2027
FY 2028
FY 2029
FY 2030
FY 2031
Stabilization Fund
Balance At Beginning Of Fiscal Year
3,778,344
$
4,175,646
$
4,683,325
$
4,718,203
$
3,028,943
$
3,022,609
$
3,022,585
$
3,022,585
$
3,022,585
$
3,022,585
$
3,022,585
$
Annual Revenues (1)
1,496,000
$
1,600,000
$
1,600,000
$
1,600,000
$
1,600,000
$
1,600,000
$
1,600,000
$
1,600,000
$
1,600,000
$
1,600,000
$
1,600,000
$
Less: Payment Of Debt Service
(1,128,414)
$
(1,125,418)
$
(1,600,246)
$
(3,318,203)
$
(1,628,943)
$
(1,622,609)
$
(1,622,585)
$
(1,622,585)
$
(1,622,585)
$
(1,622,585)
$
(1,622,585)
$
Subtotal
4,145,930
$
4,650,228
$
4,683,079
$
3,000,000
$
3,000,000
$
3,000,000
$
3,000,000
$
3,000,000
$
3,000,000
$
3,000,000
$
3,000,000
$
Less: Restricted Funds
(3,000,000)
$
(3,000,000)
$
(3,000,000)
$
(3,000,000)
$
(3,000,000)
$
(3,000,000)
$
(3,000,000)
$
(3,000,000)
$
(3,000,000)
$
(3,000,000)
$
(3,000,000)
$
Total Amount Available For Projects
1,145,930
$
1,650,228
$
1,683,079
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
Amount Paid For Projects
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
Subtotal
1,145,930
$
1,650,228
$
1,683,079
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
Add Back: Restricted Funds (2)
3,000,000
$
3,000,000
$
3,000,000
$
3,000,000
$
3,000,000
$
3,000,000
$
3,000,000
$
3,000,000
$
3,000,000
$
3,000,000
$
3,000,000
$
Plus: Interest Earnings (3)
29,716
$
33,097
$
35,124
$
28,943
$
22,609
$
22,585
$
22,585
$
22,585
$
22,585
$
22,585
$
22,585
$
Less: Interest Allocated To Cash Flow
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
Balance At End Of Fiscal Year
4,175,646
$
4,683,325
$
4,718,203
$
3,028,943
$
3,022,609
$
3,022,585
$
3,022,585
$
3,022,585
$
3,022,585
$
3,022,585
$
3,022,585
$
Infiltration & Inflow
Balance At Beginning Of Fiscal Year
1,034,793
$
1,243,304
$
1,453,379
$
1,665,029
$
1,826,466
$
1,019,553
$
1,007,573
$
1,007,528
$
1,007,528
$
1,007,528
$
1,007,528
$
Annual Revenues (4)
200,000
$
200,000
$
200,000
$
200,000
$
200,000
$
200,000
$
200,000
$
200,000
$
200,000
$
200,000
$
200,000
$
Less: Payment Of Debt Service
-
$
-
$
-
$
(51,608)
$
(1,017,546)
$
(219,553)
$
(207,573)
$
(207,528)
$
(207,528)
$
(207,528)
$
(207,528)
$
Subtotal
1,234,793
$
1,443,304
$
1,653,379
$
1,813,422
$
1,008,920
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
Less: Restricted Funds
(1,000,000)
$
(1,000,000)
$
(1,000,000)
$
(1,000,000)
$
(1,000,000)
$
(1,000,000)
$
(1,000,000)
$
(1,000,000)
$
(1,000,000)
$
(1,000,000)
$
(1,000,000)
$
Total Amount Available For Projects
234,793
$
443,304
$
653,379
$
813,422
$
8,920
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
Amount Paid For Projects
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
Subtotal
234,793
$
443,304
$
653,379
$
813,422
$
8,920
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
Add Back: Restricted Funds (2)
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
1,000,000
$
Plus: Interest Earnings (3)
8,511
$
10,075
$
11,650
$
13,044
$
10,633
$
7,573
$
7,528
$
7,528
$
7,528
$
7,528
$
7,528
$
Less: Interest Allocated To Cash Flow
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
Balance At End Of Fiscal Year
1,243,304
$
1,453,379
$
1,665,029
$
1,826,466
$
1,019,553
$
1,007,573
$
1,007,528
$
1,007,528
$
1,007,528
$
1,007,528
$
1,007,528
$
Enterprise Fund
Balance At Beginning Of Fiscal Year
9,960,262
$
6,875,596
$
5,912,641
$
5,551,167
$
6,710,974
$
7,968,775
$
8,623,064
$
9,023,514
$
9,216,412
$
8,679,653
$
8,019,363
$
Cash Flow Surplus/(Deficit)
(3,084,666)
$
(242,954)
$
(121,474)
$
1,759,806
$
1,557,801
$
954,289
$
700,451
$
492,898
$
(236,759)
$
(360,289)
$
737,394
$
Less: Cash-Funded Capital Projects
-
$
(720,000)
$
(240,000)
$
(600,000)
$
(300,000)
$
(300,000)
$
(300,000)
$
(300,000)
$
(300,000)
$
(300,000)
$
(300,000)
$
Subtotal
763,533
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
662,303
$
1,094,410
$
1,265,862
$
1,222,732
$
442,698
$
-
$
-
$
Plus: Interest Earnings
63,134
$
47,956
$
42,989
$
45,983
$
55,049
$
62,219
$
66,175
$
68,400
$
67,110
$
62,621
$
61,785
$
Less: Interest Allocated To Cash Flow
(63,134)
$
(47,956)
$
(42,989)
$
(45,983)
$
(55,049)
$
(62,219)
$
(66,175)
$
(68,400)
$
(67,110)
$
(62,621)
$
(61,785)
$
Balance At End Of Fiscal Year
6,875,596
$
5,912,641
$
5,551,167
$
6,710,974
$
7,968,775
$
8,623,064
$
9,023,514
$
9,216,412
$
8,679,653
$
8,019,363
$
8,456,757
$
(1) Annual revenues reflect assumed contributions from the City's General Fund (assumptions provided by City Staff) and transfers in from the Sewer Enterprise operating fund in order to pay for future debt service. A transfer in from the General Fund
of $2.2 million is included in FY 2021, allocated 68% to sewer and 32% to water based upon current Stabilization Fund allocation methodology. An additional $2 million of cash infusions from the City's General Fund is assumed for the remainder of the
projection period, allocated 80% to sewer and 20% to water based upon the future capital needs of the two systems and per discussions with City Staff.
(2) Per discussions with City Staff, a minimum reserve target of $3 Million has been established for the Sewer Stabilization Fund and $1 Million for the Infiltration & Inflow (I/I) Fund.
(3) Interest earned on Stabilization Fund balances will be retained in the Stabilization Funds as interpreted from City's financial policies. The same assumption has been made for the City's I/I Fund.
(4) Annual assumed revenues to I/I Fund of $200k based upon assumed average annual receipts provided by City Staff.
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